Saturday, October 10, 2009
Updated Division Series Odds Through Games of October 10, 2009
| Team | DS Win Odds | G/L |
| Yankees (up 2-0) | 94.0% | 5.9% |
| Angels (up 2-0) | 83.9% | 18.2% |
| Dodgers (up 2-0) | 82.7% | -1.1% |
| Phillies (tied 1-1) | 59.9% | -4.2% |
| Rockies (tied 1-1) | 40.1% | 4.2% |
| Cardinals (down 0-2) | 17.3% | 1.1% |
| Red Sox (down 2-0) | 16.1% | -18.2% |
| Twins (down 2-0) | 6.0% | -5.9% |
G/L: Gain/Loss (percentage change in probability of advancing to the next round since the prior run on Sept 9)
The NLDS odds changed slightly even though both series were idle because the Monte Carlo simulator makes random tweaks in the winning percentages during each iteration to account for the volatility of how a team may actually play over a small sample.
The key numbers to look at are the ones in the AL, where the Yankees and Angels made big gains by going up 2-0 with their wins tonight..
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