Friday, December 21, 2007
Mariano Rivera - 3 Year Forecast
With Mariano Rivera's signing just about done and with old thurman fan's request in the last post, here's a look at Mo's three year CAIRO forecast.| Year | Age | G | Sv | W | L | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | ERA | RSaA | RSaR |
| 2008 | 38 | 67 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 79 | 70 | 27 | 24 | 4 | 16 | 65 | 2.79 | 15 | 23 |
| 2009 | 39 | 58 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 69 | 62 | 24 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 55 | 2.94 | 12 | 19 |
| 2010 | 40 | 51 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 59 | 55 | 22 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 3.11 | 9 | 15 |
Standard caveats about projecting pitchers apply. Also remember that Mo is one of a kind, which makes projecting him pretty damn hard. The one concern I'd have is he's basically a one-pitch pitcher, and if he loses enough fastball velocity he could decline precipitously.
Still, he's Mariano F'ing Rivera. If you're going to overpay anyone, you overpay him.
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