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Player	Current	Projected

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"Larry, can you be any more of a Yankee apologist?.... Just look past your Yankee myopia and try some objectivity."
- Bernal Diaz

"Mr. Mahnken is enlightened."
- cordially, as always,
rm

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- Anonymous

"After reading all your postings and daily weblog...I believe you have truly become the Phil Pepe of this generation. Now this is not necessarily a good thing."
- Repoz

"you blog sucks, it reeds as it was written by the queer son of mike lupica and roids clemens. i could write a better column by letting a monkey fuk a typewriter. i dont need no 181 million dollar team to write a blog fukkk the spankeees"
- yan

"i think his followers have a different sexual preference than most men"
- bob

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- No Guru No Method

"Are you the biggest idiot ever?"
- Randal

"I'm not qualified to write for online media, let alone mainstream media."
- Larry Mahnken

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Tuesday, June 30, 2009

LA Times: Yankees acquire Eric Hinske from Pirates for 2 minor leaguers

NEW YORK (AP) -- Eric Hinske has been acquired by the New York Yankees from the Pittsburgh Pirates for a pair of minor leaguers.
Pittsburgh will receive right-hander Casey Erickson and outfielder Eric Fryer for the utilityman. In addition, the Pirates will give the Yankees cash.

Entering 2009, here were Hinske's offensive projections as a Pirate:

eric hinske	PA	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	BR	BR/650	BRAR/650	wOBA
2009 chone projection	126	111	17	27	5	0	5	15	2	1	14	28	1	.242	.333	.420	16	82	19	.320
2009 marcel projection	126	111	16	27	6	1	5	15	2	1	14	27	1	.244	.331	.435	16	84	22	.322
2009 pecota projection	126	110	16	27	6	0	5	17	3	1	14	30	1	.245	.332	.435	16	85	22	.322
2009 tht projection	126	111	16	28	6	1	5	16	2	1	15	27	1	.251	.343	.449	17	89	27	.332
2009 zips projection	126	111	16	26	6	0	5	13	2	1	14	28	1	.234	.328	.430	16	82	20	.319
2009 cairo projection	126	111	16	27	6	0	5	16	2	1	14	28	1	.240	.332	.440	17	85	23	.324
2009 average projection	126	111	16	27	6	0	5	15	2	1	14	28	1	.243	.333	.435	16	85	22	.323
2009 actuals	126	106	18	27	9	0	1	11	0	0	17	27	3	.255	.373	.368	16	81	4	.330

And his defensive projections in ZR and UZR:

Player	ZR	Pos	GP	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	PM	CH	ZR	Diff	RS	RS/162
eric hinske		1B	54	45	408	398	30	3	40	66	77	.856	0	0	0
Tm		3B	33	26	246	17	52	3	5	55	69	.796	1	1	6
PIT		LF	49	38	323	67	2	1	0	65	76	.858	0	0	0
League		RF	59	52	424	96	3	1	1	94	111	.849	-3	-2	-8
NL		Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	DG	exO	RngR	ErrR	UZR	UZR/150
Age	UZR	1B	53	46	440	427	33	4	43	52	55	0	-1	0	0
31		3B	31	25	261	18	55	3	5	28	54	1	0	1	5
		LF	47	39	350	72	2	1	0	39	72	1	0	1	4
		RF	54	49	425	98	3	1	1	49	97	1	0	1	3
	Combined	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	RS	RS/162
		1B	54	46	424	413	32	4	41	0	0
		3B	32	26	254	18	53	3	5	1	6
		LF	48	39	337	70	2	1	0	0	2
		RF	56	50	425	97	3	1	1	-1	-2

We don't have a ton of sample size for those defensive projections, so take them with a grain of salt. It's probably reasonable to say that Hinske can play four positions competently though, 1B/3B and the OF corners.

If we project Hinske going forward, moving him to the Yankees and using his YTD performance to revise his projection, here's what that looks like:

Revised projection	PA	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	BR	BR/650	BRAR	wOBA
2009 chone projection	272	236	38	58	14	0	7	29	3	1	33	60	3	.246	.345	.405	34	82	8	.323
2009 marcel projection	272	237	36	58	15	1	8	30	3	1	31	59	4	.247	.344	.416	35	83	9	.324
2009 pecota projection	272	236	36	58	15	1	8	33	4	1	32	63	3	.248	.344	.416	35	84	9	.324
2009 tht projection	272	236	36	59	15	1	8	32	3	1	33	58	3	.252	.352	.425	36	87	10	.332
2009 zips projection	272	236	36	57	15	1	8	27	3	1	32	60	4	.240	.341	.412	34	82	8	.322
2009 cairo projection	272	236	36	58	15	1	8	31	3	1	32	60	4	.244	.344	.419	35	84	9	.326
2009 average projection	272	236	36	58	15	1	8	30	3	1	32	60	4	.246	.345	.415	35	84	9	.325

League average wOBA is around 0.332, so Hinske projects as essentially average offensively going forward (over 300 PA the difference between a .332 wOBA and a .325 wOBA is less than 2 runs), and with the ability to spot the four corners. Here are Casey Erickson's and Eric Fryer's minor league stats. I don't think either is a huge prospect by any means..

Hinske can replace Xavier Nady, who looks to be done for the year, and can spell Alex Rodriguez once a week or so while likely hitting/fielding better than Cody Ransom. The difference between Hinske and Ransom going forward over 200 PAs is around 9 runs offensively, so this could be a nice cheap pickup of a win. Hinske also gives the Yankees a little more OF depth and roster flexibility, since I'd assume this means Ransom becomes the primary backup MI, and Ramiro Pena goes to AAA to get full-time PT, although they could just cut Ransom and keep Pena. So they get a a little more OF depth without wasting another roster spot as well.

Tough to see any downside with this acquisition. Thumbs up from me.

--Posted at 10:59 am by SG / 81 Comments | - (140)

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