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Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Is Moose Good Again?

Mike Mussina backed up an encouraging outing in his last start with his best start of the season last night. It's tempting to assume that Moose is back, but two starts is a very sample size. Then again, so are the three starts where he stunk. So the question is if Mike Mussina has found something, or if he never really lost anything to begin with.

Dates GS W L IP TBF H HR R ER SO BB ERA RA
8/16-8/27 3 0 3 9.7 59 25 1 20 19 3 5 17.69 18.62
9/12-9/18 2 2 0 12.7 47 8 0 0 0 7 4 0.00 0.00


Dates FB%GB% LD%RS Stk%BABIP FIPxFIP HR/FBBB/9 K/9
8/16-8/27 41.2% 41.2% 17.6% -14.7 63.7% .471 5.48 7.24 0.05 4.7 2.8
9/12-9/18 22.2% 58.3% 19.4% 6.9 63.2% .222 3.04 3.95 0.00 2.8 5.0


TBF : Total batters faced
FB% : Fly ball percentage
GB% : Ground ball percentage
LD% : Line drive percentage
FIP : Fielding Independent Pitching
xFIP : Expected Fielding Independent Pitching
HR/FB : HR per fly ball (league average is around 11%)
RS : Runs saved above average
Stk% : Strike percentage
BABIP : Batting average on balls in play

The big difference I see is the FB%/GB% shift. He's not throwing a higher percentage of strikes on a pitch by pitch basis, but his BB rate is much improved and his K rate has almost doubled. His FIP and xFIP are markedly improved as well.

Moose is not going to be as good as he was in his last two starts, especially against better offenses, but I hope he has recovered something and can play a role in the Yankees fight for the World Series.

So yeah, the Yankees beat up on Baltimore 12-0 while Boston and Detroit both lost. If I were allowed to celebrate I'd be feeling pretty good right now, but since Jeter is King has decreed that I cannot, I'll just have to not care.
--Posted at 8:19 am by SG / 28 Comments | - (839)



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