The Curse of... oh, let's say, Clay Bellinger:








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The Curious Case of Robinson Cano’s Defense in 2008
(84 Comments - 9/7/2008 2:14:42 pm)

NY Post: ‘FRAUD’ IS ‘JOBA’ THE NUT
(31 Comments - 9/5/2008 4:56:42 pm)

MLB Team Defense by Zone Rating through September 4, 2008
(99 Comments - 9/5/2008 2:51:47 pm)

Yankees (75-64) @ Rays (84-53), 7:10pm **Game Chatter**
(89 Comments - 9/5/2008 9:40:32 am)

Yankees (74-64) @ Rays (84-52), 7:10pm **Game Chatter**
(170 Comments - 9/4/2008 8:39:38 am)

tRA and the 2008 Yankees
(83 Comments - 9/4/2008 12:40:22 am)

Yankees (73-64) @ Rays (84-51), 7:10pm **Game Chatter**
(133 Comments - 9/3/2008 11:17:45 am)

Newsday - O’Brien: Chamberlain back today, will work out of bullpen
(33 Comments - 9/2/2008 5:26:24 pm)

NY Daily News: Yankees’ Minor League Report
(18 Comments - 9/2/2008 4:47:20 pm)

Yankees.com: Joba to face hitters in next rehab phase
(189 Comments - 9/1/2008 10:25:06 pm)



Player

Current Projected
Brian Bruney
11 G
15 G
12 IP
16 IP
Dan Giese
11 G
15 G
21.7 IP
29 IP
Damaso Marte
5 G
7 G
4.7 IP
6 IP
Edwar Ramirez
37 G
49 G
40.7 IP
54 IP
Mariano Rivera
44 G
58 G
48.3 IP
64 IP
David Robertson
14 G
19 G
16.3 IP
22 IP
Jose Veras
38 G
50 G
38.7 IP
51 IP
Total
274 G
364 G
328.3 IP
435 IP

Look what people have to say about Larry Mahnken's commentary!

"Larry, can you be any more of a Yankee apologist?.... Just look past your Yankee myopia and try some objectivity."
- Bernal Diaz

"Mr. Mahnken is enlightened."
- cordially, as always,
rm

"Wow, Larry. You've produced 25% of the comments on this thread and said nothing meaningful. That's impressive, even for you."
- Anonymous

"After reading all your postings and daily weblog...I believe you have truly become the Phil Pepe of this generation. Now this is not necessarily a good thing."
- Repoz

"you blog sucks, it reeds as it was written by the queer son of mike lupica and roids clemens. i could write a better column by letting a monkey fuk a typewriter. i dont need no 181 million dollar team to write a blog fukkk the spankeees"
- yan

"i think his followers have a different sexual preference than most men"
- bob

"Boring and predictable."
- No Guru No Method

"Are you the biggest idiot ever?"
- Randal

"I'm not qualified to write for online media, let alone mainstream media."
- Larry Mahnken



This site is best viewed with a monitor.

Disclaimer: If you think this is the official website of the New York Yankees, you're an idiot. Go away.


Thursday, January 31, 2008

Diamond Mind and CAIRO post-Santana trade

I've gotten a few requests for this, so here are the CAIRO/Diamond Mind simulations with Santana traded to the Metsies.

AL East W L RF RA DIV WC 1 Std W 1 Std RF 1 Std RA
Bos08 98.0 64.0 881 695 54.8 32.5 92 - 104 839 - 923 659 - 730
NYA08 96.5 65.6 940 770 35.8 42.0 90 - 103 893 - 988 726 - 814
Tor08 87.1 74.9 775 710 9.3 12.0 80 - 94 736 - 814 673 - 748
Tam08 76.9 85.1 806 853 0.0 2.0 71 - 83 769 - 843 815 - 891
Bal08 69.0 93.0 768 908 0.0 0.0 63 - 75 730 - 807 865 - 950
AL Central W L RF RA DIV WC 1 Std W 1 Std RF 1 Std RA
Det08 91.0 71.0 905 784 55.0 3.5 85 - 97 859 - 952 745 - 824
Cle08 89.4 72.6 828 719 43.0 6.0 84 - 95 790 - 867 682 - 756
KC08 75.1 86.9 768 847 0.5 0.0 69 - 81 729 - 807 809 - 885
ChA08 73.9 88.1 779 850 0.5 0.0 68 - 80 743 - 814 809 - 890
Min08 72.0 90.1 699 794 1.0 0.0 66 - 78 660 - 738 756 - 832
AL West W L RF RA DIV WC 1 Std W 1 Std RF 1 Std RA
LAA08 89.3 72.7 801 712 83.5 1.0 83 - 95 758 - 845 675 - 748
Sea08 78.3 83.7 721 778 13.0 0.0 72 - 85 682 - 761 736 - 821
Tex08 74.6 87.4 821 904 3.5 0.0 68 - 81 781 - 860 861 - 947
Oak08 73.2 88.8 739 813 0.0 1.0 68 - 79 703 - 775 769 - 858
NL East W L RF RA DIV WC 1 Std W 1 Std RF 1 Std RA
NYN08 94.7 67.4 827 696 80.5 7.3 89 - 101 785 - 869 660 - 733
Phi08 84.4 77.6 864 813 10.5 17.0 78 - 90 823 - 905 770 - 855
Atl08 82.6 79.4 780 764 9.0 13.3 77 - 89 737 - 823 729 - 800
Was08 73.8 88.2 774 856 0.0 0.0 68 - 80 737 - 811 819 - 894
Flo08 66.3 95.7 734 894 0.0 0.0 61 - 72 699 - 769 851 - 936
NL Central W L RF RA DIV WC 1 Std W 1 Std RF 1 Std RA
ChN08 89.2 72.8 804 718 61.5 6.3 83 - 95 764 - 844 677 - 759
Mil08 85.6 76.4 810 755 26.0 13.5 79 - 92 774 - 846 717 - 793
Cin08 78.9 83.1 771 806 6.0 3.5 72 - 85 732 - 811 762 - 850
Hou08 77.6 84.4 770 795 3.5 3.0 72 - 84 732 - 809 759 - 830
StL08 77.2 84.8 763 801 3.0 3.0 71 - 83 724 - 802 766 - 837
Pit08 68.2 93.9 692 838 0.0 0.3 62 - 74 660 - 725 799 - 876
NL West W L RF RA DIV WC 1 Std W 1 Std RF 1 Std RA
Col08 85.2 76.8 832 788 28.5 6.3 79 - 92 789 - 875 752 - 823
Ari08 85.1 76.9 748 710 21.5 13.0 79 - 91 712 - 784 670 - 749
LAN08 85.0 77.0 770 750 23.5 7.8 80 - 90 734 - 805 713 - 787
SD08 83.2 78.8 748 697 26.5 5.5 77 - 90 707 - 788 660 - 735
SF08 69.0 93.0 686 789 0.0 0.0 62 - 76 649 - 723 745 - 834


It's about 4-5 win upgrade for the Mets, which is huge. It doesn't impact the AL all that much aside from making Minnesota worse, which benefits the AL Central second place team in their pursuit of the wild card.

I know there are some fans that are disappointed that the Yankees didn't give up a package of Ian Kennedy, Melky Cabrera, and "a top prospect." Don't count me among them. Santana would have cost the Yankees at least $20 million a year plus another $5 million or so in luxury tax, for what would have been a 2008 regular season upgrade of maybe a win or two, most likely followed by diminishing returns over over the remainder of Johan's extension. We don't know who the "top prospect" would have been. As the simulations show, the Yankees are still a very good team. Not as good as Boston, but being better than Boston didn't help them from 2001-2006.

I'll continue the top twenty position player seasons tomorrow with LF.

--Posted at 8:38 am by SG / 22 Comments | - (1473)



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