Sunday, August 3, 2008
Before and After
Although the Yankees are scuffling a bit right now, they're still a better team than they were a few weeks ago with the acquisitions of Ivan Rodriguez and Xavier Nady. I've already broken down the Rodriguez and Nady deals, but here's how the whole team looks.| Player | Pos | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | BR | DR | TR | BR/162 | DR/162 | TR/162 | |
| 1 | Damon,Johnny | DH | 264 | .292 | .367 | .427 | 37 | 0 | 37 | 112 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Jeter,Derek | SS | 255 | .300 | .372 | .424 | 35 | -2 | 33 | 107 | -6 | 11 |
| 3 | Abreu,Bobby | RF | 250 | .283 | .377 | .455 | 37 | -4 | 33 | 113 | -12 | 11 |
| 4 | Rodriguez,Alex | 3B | 246 | .309 | .408 | .580 | 48 | 0 | 48 | 145 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Giambi,Jason | 1B | 239 | .248 | .390 | .480 | 38 | -3 | 35 | 115 | -9 | 11 |
| 6 | Cano,Robinson | 2B | 232 | .291 | .332 | .459 | 31 | 1 | 32 | 95 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Cabrera,Melky | LF | 225 | .268 | .332 | .385 | 26 | 1 | 27 | 79 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Molina,Jose | C | 220 | .235 | .278 | .329 | 18 | 2 | 20 | 55 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Gardner,Brett | CF | 204 | .237 | .318 | .303 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 59 | 0 | 6 |
| Total | 2134 | .275 | .354 | .429 | 288 | -5 | 283 | 881 | -15 | 865 |
On a full season basis, the pre-trade Yankees starting nine would project to score 881 runs if they played all 162 games using their revised projections including YTD performance, while being around 15 runs below average defensively.
| Player | Pos | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | BR | DR | TR | BR/162 | DR/162 | TR/162 | |
| 1 | Damon,Johnny | DH | 267 | .292 | .367 | .427 | 37 | 0 | 37 | 113 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Jeter,Derek | SS | 258 | .300 | .372 | .424 | 35 | -2 | 33 | 108 | -6 | 11 |
| 3 | Abreu,Bobby | RF | 252 | .283 | .377 | .455 | 38 | -4 | 34 | 115 | -12 | 11 |
| 4 | Rodriguez,Alex | 3B | 249 | .309 | .408 | .580 | 48 | 0 | 48 | 147 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Giambi,Jason | 1B | 242 | .248 | .390 | .480 | 38 | -3 | 35 | 117 | -9 | 11 |
| 6 | Cano,Robinson | 2B | 235 | .291 | .332 | .459 | 31 | 1 | 32 | 96 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Nady,Xavier | LF | 227 | .288 | .350 | .493 | 34 | 0 | 35 | 104 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Rodriguez,Ivan | C | 222 | .281 | .312 | .412 | 25 | 3 | 27 | 78 | 9 | 9 |
| 9 | Cabrera,Melky | CF | 206 | .268 | .332 | .385 | 24 | 1 | 29 | 72 | 3 | 9 |
| Total | 2157 | .285 | .361 | .457 | 310 | -4 | 310 | 949 | -12 | 937 |
The post-trade Yankees would project to score 949 runs, again using their revised projections, while being 12 runs worse than average defensively. So over a full season, the new Yankees are 68 runs better offensively and three runs better defensively, so about six wins better overall on the position player side.
Over the remaining 52 games, the post-trade Yankees are about 24 runs better if you look at offense and defense, which is a little more than two wins better.
Now obviously the starting nine wouldn't play all the games, so we should knock down the runs to account for bench playing time. If we add in 500 replacement level plate appearances to the pre-trade Yankees over the rest of the season, we lose about 18 runs. If we do the same to the post-trade Yankees we lose 23. So it's still basically about a two win difference overall.
Giving the team 1500 replacement level PAs over a full season knocks the run totals down by 54 and 72 respectively, so you're looking at a 826 run team versus a 877 run team.
One key thing to note is that these numbers are calculated against the number of outs the team will make. As you can see, the improved OBP for the post-trade Yankees gives them an extra 23 plate appearances.
If only they didn't have to play the damn Angels 50 more times...
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