Wednesday, August 6, 2008
Baseball Prospectus’s Postseason Odds Report - August 6, 2008
YTD version| AL East | W | L | Pct3 | Avg W | Avg L | Champions | Wild Card | Playoffs | 1D Change | 7D Change |
| Rays | 67 | 45 | 0.587 | 94.7 | 67.3 | 60.5% | 31.4% | 91.9% | 2.1% | 10.7% |
| Red Sox | 65 | 49 | 0.61 | 92.9 | 69.1 | 36.3% | 47.6% | 83.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% |
| Yankees | 61 | 52 | 0.554 | 86.2 | 75.8 | 2.9% | 11.5% | 14.4% | -5.2% | -9.2% |
PECOTA-adjusted version
| AL East | W | L | Pct3 | Avg W | Avg L | Champions | Wild Card | Playoffs |
| Rays | 67 | 45 | 0.594 | 95.1 | 66.9 | 59.3% | 32.4% | 91.8% |
| Red Sox | 65 | 49 | 0.619 | 93.4 | 68.6 | 37.1% | 47.6% | 84.6% |
| Yankees | 61 | 52 | 0.569 | 87 | 75 | 3.5% | 13.3% | 16.8% |
ELO Version
| AL East | W | L | Pct3 | Avg W | Avg L | Champions | Wild Card | Playoffs |
| Rays | 67 | 45 | 1529 | 92.4 | 69.6 | 50.2% | 28.1% | 78.3% |
| Red Sox | 65 | 49 | 1554 | 91.6 | 70.4 | 41.1% | 31.8% | 72.8% |
| Yankees | 61 | 52 | 1541 | 86.5 | 75.5 | 7.8% | 15.0% | 22.7% |
So you're saying there's a chance?
Yankees.com: Joba to visit Dr. Andrews after MRI.
ARLINGTON -- One day later, Joba Chamberlain has results but no answers.
Chamberlain underwent an MRI on his stiff right shoulder Tuesday in New York, but the Yankees did not immediately announce what that exam showed. The team revealed only that Chamberlain will travel to Birmingham, Ala., on Wednesday to receive a second opinion from renowned orthopedic surgeon Dr. James Andrews.
It's just a flesh wound, honestly.
Yankees.com: Ponson aims for another solid start
ARLINGTON -- With Joba Chamberlain out of the rotation for the indefinite future and manager Joe Girardi's bullpen logging an extreme amount of innings, the success of every Yankees starter has become even more critical than usual.
Even under normal circumstances, such success would be a challenge. But considering that this group consists of three pitchers who weren't in the Opening Day rotation, the task of consistency seems even more difficult.
For Sidney Ponson, it seems downright daunting. Though Ponson is coming off his most impressive outing of the year, he remains only one start removed from perhaps his season's worst showing. And considering that the Yankees need length out of their starters -- the bullpen is nothing short of taxed -- consistency is critical.
Good luck with all that...
Page 1 of 1 pages: