Wednesday, July 15, 2009
AL Starting Pitcher Run Values Through the All Star Break
| Rank | Name | Team | Role | IP | H | HR | BB | K | RA | FIP | RSAR |
| 1 | *Greinke, Zack Z | KC | SP | 127.3 | 116 | 4 | 21 | 129 | 2.69 | 2.06 | 48.0 |
| 2 | *Jackson, Edwin | DET | SP | 121.7 | 94 | 10 | 35 | 97 | 2.96 | 3.52 | 41.0 |
| 3 | Blackburn, Nick N | MIN | SP | 123.3 | 129 | 10 | 29 | 54 | 3.65 | 4.04 | 37.1 |
| 4 | Millwood, Kevin | TEX | SP | 130 | 124 | 17 | 44 | 79 | 3.74 | 4.82 | 35.3 |
| 5 | *Halladay, Roy | TOR | SP | 123 | 118 | 10 | 17 | 106 | 3.00 | 2.96 | 34.3 |
| 6 | *Hernandez, Felix A | SEA | SP | 124.7 | 106 | 8 | 36 | 121 | 2.96 | 3.04 | 33.4 |
| 7 | Weaver, Jered D | LAA | SP | 120.3 | 99 | 14 | 36 | 104 | 3.44 | 3.87 | 33.0 |
| 8 | *Verlander, Justin B | DET | SP | 122.3 | 108 | 10 | 38 | 149 | 3.75 | 2.69 | 30.7 |
| 9 | Sabathia, CC | NYA | SP | 128.3 | 110 | 11 | 38 | 95 | 4.07 | 3.73 | 28.2 |
| 10 | *Beckett, Josh | BOS | SP | 121 | 104 | 10 | 35 | 110 | 3.87 | 3.36 | 27.7 |
| 11 | Lee, Cliff | CLE | SP | 127 | 143 | 8 | 33 | 93 | 3.47 | 3.34 | 27.3 |
| 12 | Washburn, Jarrod | SEA | SP | 112.3 | 94 | 11 | 28 | 72 | 3.20 | 3.95 | 26.9 |
| 13 | Shields, James A | TB | SP | 129 | 136 | 14 | 26 | 90 | 3.84 | 3.78 | 26.7 |
| 14 | Garza, Matt | TB | SP | 115.7 | 95 | 15 | 45 | 102 | 3.81 | 4.38 | 24.3 |
| 15 | Romero, Ricky | TOR | SP | 87 | 80 | 11 | 30 | 69 | 3.00 | 4.35 | 24.2 |
| 16 | Feldman, Scott | TEX | SP | 96.3 | 83 | 11 | 31 | 46 | 3.92 | 4.78 | 24.2 |
| 17 | Burnett, A.J. | NYA | SP | 107.3 | 95 | 14 | 53 | 101 | 4.02 | 4.65 | 24.1 |
| 18 | Braden, Dallas L | OAK | SP | 112.3 | 111 | 7 | 30 | 73 | 3.45 | 3.44 | 23.6 |
| 19 | Lester, Jon T | BOS | SP | 114 | 112 | 13 | 35 | 131 | 4.11 | 3.32 | 23.2 |
| 20 | Buehrle, Mark | CHA | SP | 118 | 114 | 17 | 26 | 66 | 3.89 | 4.63 | 22.1 |
| 21 | Bergesen, Brad | BAL | SP | 104.3 | 100 | 10 | 25 | 53 | 3.80 | 4.14 | 21.7 |
| 22 | Bedard, Erik | SEA | SP | 75.3 | 59 | 7 | 27 | 78 | 2.87 | 3.53 | 21.0 |
| 23 | *Wakefield, Tim | BOS | SP | 108.7 | 113 | 8 | 37 | 61 | 4.31 | 4.26 | 19.7 |
| 24 | Bannister, Brian P | KC | SP | 98.3 | 92 | 8 | 32 | 62 | 4.48 | 3.93 | 18.3 |
| 25 | Danks, John W | CHA | SP | 101.3 | 90 | 11 | 37 | 89 | 4.09 | 4.03 | 16.7 |
| 26 | Niemann, Jeff | TB | SP | 91.7 | 90 | 8 | 38 | 52 | 4.12 | 4.57 | 16.1 |
| 27 | Richmond, Scott | TOR | SP | 85.3 | 72 | 15 | 30 | 71 | 3.90 | 4.80 | 15.0 |
| 28 | Slowey, Kevin | MIN | SP | 90.7 | 113 | 15 | 15 | 75 | 4.96 | 4.28 | 14.9 |
| 29 | Perkins, Glen W | MIN | SP | 78.3 | 88 | 7 | 16 | 36 | 4.71 | 4.05 | 14.9 |
| 30 | Padilla, Vicente | TEX | SP | 89.3 | 96 | 7 | 39 | 49 | 4.74 | 4.63 | 14.8 |
| 31 | Porcello, Rick A | DET | SP | 87 | 96 | 13 | 31 | 47 | 4.66 | 5.12 | 13.4 |
| 32 | Saunders, Joe | LAA | SP | 112.3 | 115 | 21 | 39 | 64 | 4.89 | 5.57 | 13.1 |
| 33 | Meche, Gil | KC | SP | 108 | 113 | 11 | 49 | 87 | 5.17 | 4.29 | 12.2 |
| 34 | Baker, Scott S | MIN | SP | 101.3 | 102 | 18 | 21 | 82 | 5.51 | 4.47 | 10.9 |
| 35 | Floyd, Gavin C | CHA | SP | 115.7 | 110 | 10 | 41 | 92 | 4.75 | 3.73 | 10.5 |
| 36 | Outman, Josh | OAK | SP | 67.3 | 53 | 9 | 25 | 53 | 4.01 | 4.44 | 9.8 |
| 37 | Hunter, Tommy | TEX | SP | 23 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 2.35 | 4.20 | 9.6 |
| 38 | Uehara, Koji | BAL | SP | 66.7 | 71 | 7 | 12 | 48 | 4.45 | 3.58 | 9.0 |
| 39 | Pettitte, Andy | NYA | SP | 107.7 | 121 | 15 | 44 | 70 | 5.35 | 4.95 | 8.9 |
| 40 | Vargas, Jason M | SEA | SP | 63.7 | 67 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 4.10 | 4.76 | 8.7 |
| 41 | Galarraga, Armando | DET | SP | 99 | 110 | 17 | 43 | 65 | 5.27 | 5.47 | 8.6 |
| 42 | McCarthy, Brandon P | TEX | SP | 64 | 66 | 11 | 26 | 44 | 5.06 | 5.33 | 8.4 |
| 43 | Mazzaro, Vince M | OAK | SP | 47.7 | 48 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 3.78 | 3.87 | 8.2 |
| 44 | Chamberlain, Joba L | NYA | SP | 89 | 97 | 12 | 42 | 78 | 5.26 | 4.84 | 8.2 |
| 45 | Liriano, Francisco | MIN | SP | 102 | 106 | 14 | 46 | 93 | 5.82 | 4.62 | 7.6 |
| 46 | Palmer, Matt | LAA | SP | 75 | 72 | 7 | 34 | 43 | 5.04 | 4.67 | 7.5 |
| 47 | Penny, Brad | BOS | SP | 93.7 | 110 | 10 | 29 | 62 | 5.28 | 4.28 | 7.1 |
| 48 | Swarzak, Anthony | MIN | SP | 32 | 35 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 4.50 | 4.47 | 6.8 |
| 49 | Hernandez, David | BAL | SP | 32 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 3.94 | 4.44 | 6.1 |
| 50 | O'Sullivan, Sean D | LAA | SP | 23.7 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 3.80 | 4.72 | 5.6 |
| 51 | Lackey, John | LAA | SP | 73 | 85 | 8 | 21 | 61 | 5.30 | 3.98 | 5.3 |
| 52 | Contreras, Jose | CHA | SP | 73.3 | 70 | 8 | 22 | 55 | 5.03 | 3.94 | 4.2 |
| 53 | Adenhart, Nick | LAA | SP | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0.00 | 2.99 | 3.9 |
| 54 | Hochevar, Luke | KC | SP | 57.3 | 56 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 5.65 | 5.55 | 3.5 |
| 55 | Rzepczynski, Marc W | TOR | SP | 12 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 3.00 | 3.99 | 3.3 |
| 56 | Tallet, Brian | TOR | SP | 103.7 | 98 | 12 | 51 | 78 | 5.21 | 4.69 | 2.8 |
| 57 | Moseley, Dustin A | LAA | SP | 14.7 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4.91 | 5.14 | 1.7 |
| 58 | Loux, Shane | LAA | SP | 38.3 | 52 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 5.63 | 4.28 | 1.3 |
| 59 | Escobar, Kelvim | LAA | SP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3.60 | 4.16 | 1.3 |
| 60 | Harrison, Matt | TEX | SP | 63.3 | 81 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 6.11 | 5.12 | 1.3 |
| 61 | Smoltz, John | BOS | SP | 20 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5.40 | 2.36 | 1.3 |
| 62 | Davies, Kyle K | KC | SP | 79.7 | 81 | 14 | 41 | 54 | 6.21 | 5.75 | 0.2 |
| 63 | Rowland-Smith, Ryan B | SEA | SP | 3.3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5.40 | 6.16 | -0.1 |
| 64 | Ray, Robert A | TOR | SP | 24.3 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 5.55 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| 65 | Cahill, Trevor | OAK | SP | 98.3 | 100 | 18 | 41 | 47 | 5.31 | 5.89 | -0.5 |
| 66 | Cecil, Brett | TOR | SP | 45 | 59 | 8 | 17 | 33 | 5.60 | 5.34 | -0.8 |
| 67 | Nippert, Dustin D | TEX | SP | 7.3 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7.36 | 4.52 | -0.8 |
| 68 | Lewis, Scott | CLE | SP | 4.3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8.31 | 8.47 | -1.5 |
| 69 | Chen, Bruce | KC | SP | 20 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 7.20 | 6.41 | -2.1 |
| 70 | Price, David T | TB | SP | 44 | 41 | 7 | 31 | 47 | 6.14 | 5.27 | -2.1 |
| 71 | Figaro, Alfredo | DET | SP | 11 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 8.18 | 4.70 | -2.5 |
| 72 | Guthrie, Jeremy | BAL | SP | 101 | 110 | 20 | 34 | 62 | 5.88 | 5.66 | -2.6 |
| 73 | Pavano, Carl | CLE | SP | 107 | 127 | 11 | 20 | 77 | 5.55 | 3.70 | -2.6 |
| 74 | Simon, Alfredo | BAL | SP | 6.3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9.95 | 13.42 | -3.1 |
| 75 | Berken, Jason T | BAL | SP | 46 | 57 | 3 | 17 | 26 | 6.26 | 4.25 | -3.1 |
| 76 | Bonderman, Jeremy | DET | SP | 4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13.50 | 14.66 | -3.2 |
| 77 | Janssen, Casey C | TOR | SP | 26 | 40 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6.58 | 5.35 | -3.3 |
| 78 | Litsch, Jesse | TOR | SP | 9 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9.00 | 7.83 | -3.6 |
| 79 | Sowers, Jeremy B | CLE | SP | 57.7 | 65 | 7 | 25 | 30 | 5.93 | 4.95 | -3.9 |
| 80 | Anderson, Brett F | OAK | SP | 87.3 | 95 | 13 | 25 | 64 | 5.67 | 4.56 | -4.1 |
| 81 | Colon, Bartolo | CHA | SP | 55.3 | 63 | 12 | 20 | 36 | 6.34 | 5.60 | -5.0 |
| 82 | Willis, Dontrelle | DET | SP | 33.7 | 37 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 7.49 | 6.28 | -5.1 |
| 83 | Ortega, Anthony Y | LAA | SP | 12.7 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10.66 | 7.58 | -6.5 |
| 84 | Purcey, David K | TOR | SP | 25.7 | 28 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 7.71 | 5.26 | -6.6 |
| 85 | Mills, Bradley | TOR | SP | 7.7 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14.09 | 9.94 | -7.5 |
| 86 | Reyes, Anthony L | CLE | SP | 38.3 | 40 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 7.04 | 5.66 | -7.5 |
| 87 | Burres, Brian | TOR | SP | 6.3 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 17.05 | 4.26 | -8.4 |
| 88 | Matsuzaka, Daisuke | BOS | SP | 35 | 59 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 8.23 | 5.73 | -8.6 |
| 89 | Sonnanstine, Andy | TB | SP | 81.7 | 103 | 15 | 22 | 50 | 6.72 | 5.17 | -9.3 |
| 90 | Eveland, Dana J | OAK | SP | 27 | 47 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 8.33 | 5.34 | -9.6 |
| 91 | Santana, Ervin R | LAA | SP | 40.3 | 60 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 8.26 | 5.66 | -10.1 |
| 92 | Hill, Rich | BAL | SP | 52 | 59 | 6 | 32 | 43 | 7.44 | 4.79 | -10.4 |
| 93 | Silva, Carlos | SEA | SP | 28.7 | 38 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 8.48 | 5.98 | -10.6 |
| 94 | Huff, David G | CLE | SP | 56.3 | 74 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 7.03 | 5.06 | -11.0 |
| 95 | Eaton, Adam | BAL | SP | 41 | 56 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 8.56 | 5.96 | -13.3 |
| 96 | Kazmir, Scott E | TB | SP | 62 | 78 | 11 | 33 | 50 | 7.69 | 5.55 | -13.8 |
| 97 | Wang, Chien-Ming | NYA | SP | 42 | 66 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 9.86 | 5.37 | -16.9 |
| 98 | Carmona, Fausto C | CLE | SP | 60.7 | 69 | 9 | 41 | 36 | 8.16 | 6.08 | -19.7 |
RA: Runs allowed per nine innings (earned and unearned)
FIP: Fielding independent pitching
RSAR: Runs saved above a replacement level starter
*Denotes All-Star
Although his ERA is starting to climb towards reasonable levels, Zach Greinke's still having a monster year. If you look at his FIP, his peripheral are better than his ERA shows, which bodes well for a strong second half. Edwin Jackson went from overrated in Tampa to perhaps underrated now. His peripherals this year are much improved, although his ERA looks like it may be a half run too high. Kevin Milwood has been putting up strings of good starts, but his FIP hasn't been very good and he's got an 8.83 ERA over his last three starts.
Looking at the Yankees, we see that C.C. Sabathia has been their most valuable starter despite being a slight disappointment. When Sabathia won the Cy Young in 2007, he walked 37 in 241 innings. This year's he's already walked 38 in 128.3 innings. We have a long track record of better from C.C., so we should expect better going forward. Of course, there are those he think he's an NL pitcher because of his time in Milwaukee, so I'll just remind them HE WON THE AL CY YOUNG IN 2007! A.J. Burnett's RA is right around his projections and he's been about as valuable as the numbers expected, which is a good thing. The bad thing is his underlying performance doesn't support either of those two items right now. So Burnett will likely have to actually start pitching better, or will lose some of his first half effectiveness. I'd bet on the former, but then again I liked the Burnett signing so I may be biased.
Despite their recent struggles, Andy Pettitte and Joba Chamberlain are still above replacement level once you adjust for park. There are still legitimate reasons to be concerned about them going forward though. Pettitte in particular concerns me. Given his age and the fact that he's gotten more and more hittable, I've felt his margin for error was pretty small. Still, he seems to have bad stretches every year so I wouldn't completely write him off yet.
I won't talk about Chien-Ming Wang. I'll just wish him a speedy recovery, especially given Joba's and Pettitte's issues.
I'm going to pull a Girardi and treat Phil Hughes as a reliever so I didn't include him here.
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