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Thursday, July 16, 2009

AL Relief Pitcher Run Values Through the All Star Break

Rank Name Team Role IP H HR BB K RA FIP RSAR
1 *Bailey, Andrew S OAK RP 51.7 31 3 19 60 1.92 2.58 20.1
2 Dickey, R.A. MIN RP 55.3 57 5 22 38 3.25 4.32 18.9
3 *Nathan, Joe MIN RP 34.3 18 2 7 43 1.31 1.94 18.6
4 *Papelbon, Jonathan R BOS RP 39 34 4 18 41 1.85 3.85 17.5
5 Guerrier, Matt O MIN RP 41 29 5 8 27 2.63 4.23 16.7
6 Howell, J.P. TB RP 42.7 32 2 16 50 2.32 2.69 16.1
7 Cormier, Lance R TB RP 48 42 2 12 26 2.81 3.31 15.4
8 Ramirez, Ramon BOS RP 38.7 27 4 15 27 2.33 4.12 15.4
9 Aceves, Alfredo NYA RP 43.3 34 6 8 36 2.91 3.99 14.9
10 Aardsma, David SEA RP 41.3 27 1 24 51 2.40 2.60 13.8
11 *Rivera, Mariano NYA RP 37 30 5 3 43 2.68 2.75 13.7
12 Sherrill, George F BAL RP 37.3 29 3 12 34 2.41 3.43 13.5
13 Jennings, Jason TEX RP 47 43 3 20 33 3.64 3.86 13.3
14 Mijares, Jose MIN RP 28.7 23 3 14 25 2.20 4.24 13.0
15 O'Day, Darren TEX RP 28 20 3 7 28 1.93 3.62 13.0
16 Oliver, Darren LAA RP 39 38 3 11 28 3.00 3.57 12.6
17 Thornton, Matt J CHA RP 36.3 28 3 12 43 2.48 2.77 12.6
18 Johnson, Jim BAL RP 42 39 3 14 27 3.00 3.73 12.5
19 Francisco, Frank TEX RP 27.7 18 4 8 32 2.28 3.70 11.8
20 Hughes, Phil NYA RP 53 44 7 20 50 4.08 4.35 11.6
21 Frasor, Jason TOR RP 33 25 1 10 29 2.45 2.61 11.2
22 Okajima, Hideki BOS RP 38 29 5 12 38 3.32 3.90 11.0
23 Lyon, Brandon DET RP 43 35 5 18 24 3.77 4.53 10.7
24 White, Sean A SEA RP 41 31 2 19 19 3.07 4.33 10.4
25 Wuertz, Mike OAK RP 42.7 31 3 12 53 3.16 2.43 10.4
26 Downs, Scott TOR RP 28.3 21 1 5 30 2.22 2.14 10.4
27 Soria, Joakim A KC RP 24 17 1 7 30 2.25 2.20 10.2
28 Delcarmen, Manny BOS RP 33.7 33 0 16 24 3.21 3.34 10.2
29 Seay, Bobby DET RP 28 20 0 8 19 2.89 2.66 9.6
30 *Fuentes, Brian LAA RP 30.7 27 2 9 34 3.23 2.96 9.1
31 Rodney, Fernando DET RP 39 33 4 19 34 3.92 4.13 9.1
32 Ziegler, Brad G OAK RP 41.3 43 1 15 29 3.48 2.94 8.5
33 Linebrink, Scott CHA RP 32.7 30 4 12 32 3.31 3.80 8.3
34 Saito, Takashi BOS RP 30.7 30 4 13 28 3.52 4.50 8.2
35 Cruz, Juan KC RP 39.7 28 4 21 30 4.31 4.55 8.1
36 Carrasco, D.J. CHA RP 54.7 60 3 20 36 4.28 3.60 7.8
37 Wilson, C.J. TEX RP 38.7 36 3 17 32 4.42 3.91 7.7
38 Keppel, Bobby G MIN RP 12.3 8 0 6 6 0.73 3.89 7.4
39 Baez, Danys BAL RP 44.3 36 5 15 25 4.26 4.51 6.9
40 Albers, Matt J BAL RP 37.7 40 1 17 28 4.06 3.37 6.7
41 Wheeler, Dan TB RP 32.7 26 4 7 22 3.86 3.86 6.7
42 Bulger, Jason P LAA RP 39 29 7 18 41 4.38 4.77 6.7
43 Dotel, Octavio CHA RP 34.7 29 4 23 46 3.89 3.91 6.5
44 Camp, Shawn A TOR RP 41.7 39 3 17 30 4.10 3.81 6.4
45 Mathis, Doug TEX RP 16.7 12 1 6 4 2.70 4.72 6.4
46 Grilli, Jason TEX RP 12.3 6 1 4 6 1.46 4.21 6.3
47 French, Luke DET RP 14 12 2 6 8 1.93 5.16 6.3
48 Hayhurst, Dirk V TOR RP 14.7 16 1 8 9 1.84 4.45 6.0
49 Masterson, Justin BOS RP 65 70 7 23 59 5.12 3.99 6.0
50 Coke, Phil NYA RP 38.3 26 6 14 31 4.70 4.52 5.8
51 Guardado, Eddie TEX RP 25.7 27 4 9 15 4.21 5.19 5.7
52 Choate, Randy TB RP 14.7 9 2 5 15 2.45 3.70 5.3
53 Bard, Daniel P BOS RP 24.7 17 0 10 29 4.01 1.90 5.3
54 Jenks, Bobby CHA RP 31 28 5 6 30 4.06 3.90 5.2
55 Herges, Matt CLE RP 25.3 24 3 6 18 3.55 3.99 5.2
56 Batista, Miguel SEA RP 46 45 3 24 30 4.30 4.40 5.2
57 Ayala, Luis MIN RP 32.3 38 4 8 21 5.01 4.49 5.1
58 Zumaya, Joel M DET RP 30 29 4 21 30 4.50 4.79 5.1
59 Laffey, Aaron S CLE RP 40.3 39 1 21 20 4.24 4.13 5.1
60 Poreda, Aaron CHA RP 11 9 0 6 12 1.64 2.61 4.9
61 Speier, Justin LAA RP 33 29 4 14 33 4.64 4.19 4.8
62 Olson, Garrett SEA RP 57 50 12 18 33 4.58 5.84 4.6
63 Robertson, David A NYA RP 22.7 16 2 16 34 4.37 3.29 4.3
64 Mahay, Ron KC RP 29.3 34 5 12 28 4.91 4.80 4.1
65 Farnsworth, Kyle KC RP 23.3 24 2 6 25 4.63 2.90 4.0
66 Cameron, Kevin J OAK RP 18.3 15 1 6 15 3.44 3.21 3.9
67 Breslow, Craig OAK RP 20 13 1 7 16 3.60 3.41 3.9
68 Sipp, Tony M CLE RP 13 5 3 13 15 2.77 6.62 3.8
69 Bass, Brian M BAL RP 53.7 63 9 21 38 5.03 5.10 3.8
70 Balfour, Grant TB RP 41.7 36 2 21 42 4.97 3.35 3.4
71 Perry, Ryan DET RP 27.3 24 3 21 25 4.94 4.95 3.3
72 Ni, Fu-Te DET RP 8 6 1 1 8 2.25 3.16 3.3
73 Dolsi, Freddy DET RP 9.3 10 0 1 2 2.89 3.05 3.2
74 Betancourt, Rafael CLE RP 28.7 24 3 14 31 4.40 3.40 3.1
75 Isringhausen, Jason TB RP 8 6 0 5 6 2.25 4.28 3.1
76 Shouse, Brian TB RP 14.3 17 2 3 9 3.77 4.14 3.1
77 Murphy, Bill R TOR RP 11.3 4 1 8 6 3.18 5.37 2.9
78 Accardo, Jeremy TOR RP 10.3 9 2 8 9 3.48 6.55 2.3
79 Bruney, Brian A NYA RP 16.7 12 1 10 18 4.86 3.22 2.3
80 Colon, Roman KC RP 16.3 16 2 6 11 4.96 4.51 2.2
81 Tomko, Brett NYA RP 20.7 19 5 7 11 5.23 6.26 2.0
82 Tejeda, Robinson G KC RP 21.7 20 0 22 30 5.40 3.57 1.9
83 League, Brandon P TOR RP 42.7 41 5 14 39 5.06 3.98 1.9
84 Bullington, Bryan P TOR RP 6 7 0 6 5 3.00 3.99 1.7
85 Aquino, Greg CLE RP 16 13 1 15 11 4.50 4.85 1.5
86 Nelson, Joe TB RP 34 30 7 20 32 5.29 5.72 1.5
87 Lowe, Mark SEA RP 41.7 38 3 18 32 4.97 3.78 1.5
88 Duensing, Brian MIN RP 11.7 10 2 5 4 5.40 6.24 1.4
89 Abreu, Winston TB RP 3.7 3 0 2 3 2.45 3.16 1.3
90 Bowden, Michael BOS RP 2 0 0 0 2 0.00 1.16 1.3
91 Miner, Zach C DET RP 49.3 58 5 25 38 5.84 4.46 1.3
92 Mickolio, Kam BAL RP 2 0 0 0 1 0.00 2.16 1.3
93 Chulk, Vinnie CLE RP 12 10 1 10 4 4.50 6.08 1.2
94 Bradford, Chad TB RP 3.3 11 0 0 3 2.70 1.36 1.1
95 Arredondo, Jose J LAA RP 24.3 28 0 12 27 5.55 2.17 1.1
96 Thompson, Rich LAA RP 16.7 23 6 7 18 5.40 6.94 1.0
97 Gray, Jeff OAK RP 1.7 0 0 0 1 0.00 1.96 1.0
98 Carlson, Jesse C TOR RP 41.3 43 3 14 30 5.23 3.67 1.0
99 Albaladejo, Jonathan NYA RP 25 27 5 11 16 5.76 5.80 1.0
100 Rincon, Juan DET RP 10.3 12 2 6 10 5.23 5.48 0.9
101 Bale, John KC RP 14.3 14 2 8 13 5.65 4.62 0.9
102 Moscoso, Guillermo A TEX RP 4 6 0 1 3 4.50 2.41 0.8
103 Waechter, Doug KC RP 4 5 2 1 3 4.50 8.91 0.7
104 Ramirez, Edwar E NYA RP 17.3 18 6 15 16 5.71 8.41 0.7
105 Eyre, Willie M TEX RP 5.3 5 0 3 1 5.06 3.91 0.7
106 Swisher, Nick T NYA RP 1 1 0 1 1 0.00 4.16 0.7
107 Rundles, Rich CLE RP 1 1 0 1 1 0.00 7.16 0.6
108 Veras, Jose CLE RP 6 6 0 2 3 4.50 3.66 0.6
109 Wright, Jamey KC RP 42.7 45 6 17 28 6.12 5.08 0.5
110 Van Every, Jonathan E BOS RP 0.7 1 0 1 0 0.00 7.66 0.5
111 Veras, Jose NYA RP 25.7 23 5 14 18 5.96 6.39 0.4
112 Lewis, Jensen D CLE RP 39.3 40 9 16 36 5.26 5.37 0.3
113 Wood, Kerry CLE RP 30.7 27 6 17 33 5.28 5.21 0.2
114 Davidson, Daniel J LAA RP 1.7 3 0 3 0 5.40 6.76 0.1
115 Vizcaino, Luis CLE RP 11.7 8 2 12 9 5.40 6.42 -0.1
116 Giese, Dan OAK RP 22 22 5 9 11 5.32 6.20 -0.1
117 Broadway, Lance D CHA RP 16 19 0 9 9 5.63 3.53 -0.1
118 Walker, Jamie BAL RP 12.3 19 5 0 9 5.84 7.21 -0.3
119 Ramirez, Horacio KC RP 22.7 27 3 11 13 6.35 4.79 -0.3
120 Gonzalez, Edgar OAK RP 30.3 33 0 12 23 5.34 2.83 -0.3
121 Rapada, Clay DET RP 2.3 4 1 2 2 7.71 8.30 -0.4
122 Castillo, Alberto B BAL RP 2.3 3 0 2 1 7.71 6.16 -0.6
123 Breslow, Craig MIN RP 14.3 11 3 11 11 6.91 6.86 -0.6
124 Henn, Sean M MIN RP 11.3 9 2 8 9 7.15 5.98 -0.7
125 Holland, Derek TEX RP 60.3 76 11 18 46 6.41 4.90 -0.7
126 Percival, Troy TB RP 11.3 14 3 5 7 6.35 6.95 -0.8
127 Hendrickson, Mark BAL RP 57.3 68 9 21 40 5.81 4.75 -1.0
128 Kelley, Shawn SEA RP 13.7 18 3 3 11 5.93 4.84 -1.0
129 Melancon, Mark D NYA RP 5.7 5 0 5 2 7.94 5.63 -1.1
130 Whisler, Wesley CHA RP 1.3 0 0 3 2 13.50 6.91 -1.2
131 Smith, Joe CLE RP 19.7 19 2 13 21 5.95 4.33 -1.4
132 Thayer, Dale TB RP 5.3 8 0 1 0 8.44 3.72 -1.6
133 McCrory, Bob BAL RP 5 6 0 5 3 9.00 4.96 -1.9
134 Jones, Hunter BOS RP 9 10 2 4 7 8.00 5.49 -2.0
135 Wolfe, Brian T TOR RP 8.3 13 3 2 8 7.56 6.64 -2.0
136 Shields, Scot LAA RP 17.7 16 1 15 12 7.13 5.08 -2.2
137 Rodriguez, Fernando LAA RP 0.7 1 1 2 1 40.50 28.66 -2.5
138 Bonine, Eddie K DET RP 8 16 3 2 5 9.00 7.16 -2.5
139 Ryan, B.J. TOR RP 20.7 22 5 17 13 6.53 7.37 -2.5
140 Gobble, Jimmy CHA RP 12 14 3 7 10 7.50 6.74 -2.6
141 Stark, Denny SEA RP 11 13 2 10 7 7.36 6.98 -2.7
142 Humber, Philip G MIN RP 4.3 11 1 3 4 12.46 5.70 -2.7
143 Gosling, Mike F CLE RP 9 14 3 2 4 8.00 6.94 -2.8
144 Pena, Tony CHA RP 2 3 0 1 2 18.00 4.16 -2.8
145 Sarfate, Dennis S BAL RP 12.7 13 3 7 10 7.82 6.55 -3.0
146 Richard, Clayton C CHA RP 73 85 10 33 56 5.92 4.89 -3.1
147 Mendoza, Luis A TEX RP 1 2 1 1 0 36.00 22.16 -3.1
148 Corcoran, Roy SEA RP 17 23 2 16 6 6.88 6.98 -3.2
149 Morrow, Brandon J SEA RP 46 51 9 31 45 5.87 5.70 -3.2
150 Madrigal, Warner TEX RP 8 8 2 8 4 10.13 8.41 -3.2
151 Morillo, Juan B MIN RP 2 3 1 3 1 22.50 13.16 -3.3
152 Kobayashi, Masa CLE RP 9.7 12 2 4 4 8.38 6.57 -3.4
153 MacDougal, Mike CHA RP 4.3 7 0 7 3 12.46 6.62 -3.4
154 Perez, Chris CLE RP 4.3 6 1 1 4 12.46 6.39 -3.6
155 Blevins, Jerry OAK RP 4.3 7 1 3 3 12.46 6.16 -3.6
156 Robertson, Nate DET RP 21 25 2 14 17 7.71 4.64 -3.7
157 Crain, Jesse A MIN RP 17.7 22 3 12 13 8.66 5.59 -3.9
158 Ohka, Tomo CLE RP 32.3 38 9 10 12 6.40 7.06 -4.0
159 Rupe, Josh TEX RP 4.7 12 2 5 2 15.43 11.09 -4.5
160 Jakubauskas, Chris SEA RP 66 64 8 21 30 5.86 4.74 -4.5
161 Gonzalez, Gio OAK RP 24.3 35 3 14 28 7.03 3.94 -5.0
162 Jackson, Zach T CLE RP 8.7 14 2 4 10 10.38 5.93 -5.0
163 Lopez, Javier BOS RP 11.7 20 1 9 5 10.03 6.24 -5.1
164 Rodriguez, Rafael LAA RP 20.7 36 3 6 9 8.27 5.19 -5.2
165 Marte, Damaso NYA RP 5.3 9 3 3 6 15.19 9.91 -5.2
166 Abreu, Winston CLE RP 1.3 7 2 1 1 40.50 23.41 -5.4
167 Casilla, Santiago OAK RP 29.3 32 6 16 20 7.06 5.89 -6.1
168 Egbert, Jack CHA RP 2.7 8 1 2 0 27.00 9.16 -6.4
169 Claggett, Anthony NYA RP 1.7 9 2 2 2 43.20 19.96 -6.6
170 Ponson, Sidney KC RP 43.3 58 4 17 24 7.68 4.43 -6.7
171 Benson, Kris TEX RP 22.3 33 6 12 11 9.27 7.68 -7.0
172 Jepsen, Kevin M LAA RP 17 28 1 9 10 10.06 4.34 -7.6
173 Gallagher, Sean OAK RP 14.3 21 1 7 10 10.05 4.55 -8.0
174 Liz, Radhames BAL RP 1.3 8 1 2 1 67.50 20.41 -9.2
175 Ray, Chris BAL RP 21.3 36 4 13 23 9.70 4.85 -9.7
176 Perez, Rafael E CLE RP 25.3 37 3 18 21 8.88 4.94 -10.3


RA: Runs allowed per nine innings (earned and unearned)
FIP: Fielding independent pitching
RSAR: Runs saved above a replacement level reliever(not adjusted for leverage)

When I think top relievers, I usually think of Andrew Bailey first, so it's no suprise to see him topping this list. Whoever he is, he's having a very nice year. R.A. Dickey's reinvented himself as a knuckleballer and has been surprising effective, although his FIP thinks he's been pitching a little over his head. No surprise seeing Joe Nathan and Jon Papelbon near the top of the list, although Papelbon's walk rate has spiked this year and his FIP is much higher than his RA. Given his track record, I'd probably expect to see his peripherals improve moreso than to see his value degrade towards his FIP, but maybe we'll get lucky there.

Looking at the Yankees, Alfredo Aceves has actually been a touch more valuable than Mo if you ignore leverage due to more innings pitched. Given their respective FIPs, we shouldn't expect that to continue going forward. If Aceves remains in the rotation or gets a few spot starts, he'll likely also see a slight decrease in his overall effectiveness. Since beginning the year below his normal standards (3.97 ERA through May 7), Mo has been dominant (1.75 ERA since May 10).

Phil Hughes gets a bump here thanks to his time as a starter, but he's been outstanding in the pen and finally looks like the #1 prospect we heard so much about. Phil Coke's had a good year except for the HR ball, but gave up four runs in his last outing which knocked his value down by 3.5 runs. David Robertson's control is hurting his value, although he's still been useful. Brian Bruney and Brett Tomko haven't been very good, although there's possible upside with Bruney, who was dominant before going on the DL.

None of the other relievers are really worth talking about, except maybe Nick T. Swisher. I could watch clips of him fanning Gabe Kapler all day. I suppose I could mention the fact that Edwar Ramirez and Damaso Marte may end up contributing at some point this year, and that Mark Melancon has shown enough statistically and physically to expect that he should be better at some point in the not-so-distant future.

--Posted at 7:36 pm by SG / 22 Comments | - (177)


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