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Thursday, July 16, 2009

AL Relief Pitcher Run Values Through the All Star Break

Rank Name Team Role IP H HR BB K RA FIP RSAR
1 *Bailey, Andrew S OAK RP 51.7 31 3 19 60 1.92 2.58 20.1
2 Dickey, R.A. MIN RP 55.3 57 5 22 38 3.25 4.32 18.9
3 *Nathan, Joe MIN RP 34.3 18 2 7 43 1.31 1.94 18.6
4 *Papelbon, Jonathan R BOS RP 39 34 4 18 41 1.85 3.85 17.5
5 Guerrier, Matt O MIN RP 41 29 5 8 27 2.63 4.23 16.7
6 Howell, J.P. TB RP 42.7 32 2 16 50 2.32 2.69 16.1
7 Cormier, Lance R TB RP 48 42 2 12 26 2.81 3.31 15.4
8 Ramirez, Ramon BOS RP 38.7 27 4 15 27 2.33 4.12 15.4
9 Aceves, Alfredo NYA RP 43.3 34 6 8 36 2.91 3.99 14.9
10 Aardsma, David SEA RP 41.3 27 1 24 51 2.40 2.60 13.8
11 *Rivera, Mariano NYA RP 37 30 5 3 43 2.68 2.75 13.7
12 Sherrill, George F BAL RP 37.3 29 3 12 34 2.41 3.43 13.5
13 Jennings, Jason TEX RP 47 43 3 20 33 3.64 3.86 13.3
14 Mijares, Jose MIN RP 28.7 23 3 14 25 2.20 4.24 13.0
15 O'Day, Darren TEX RP 28 20 3 7 28 1.93 3.62 13.0
16 Oliver, Darren LAA RP 39 38 3 11 28 3.00 3.57 12.6
17 Thornton, Matt J CHA RP 36.3 28 3 12 43 2.48 2.77 12.6
18 Johnson, Jim BAL RP 42 39 3 14 27 3.00 3.73 12.5
19 Francisco, Frank TEX RP 27.7 18 4 8 32 2.28 3.70 11.8
20 Hughes, Phil NYA RP 53 44 7 20 50 4.08 4.35 11.6
21 Frasor, Jason TOR RP 33 25 1 10 29 2.45 2.61 11.2
22 Okajima, Hideki BOS RP 38 29 5 12 38 3.32 3.90 11.0
23 Lyon, Brandon DET RP 43 35 5 18 24 3.77 4.53 10.7
24 White, Sean A SEA RP 41 31 2 19 19 3.07 4.33 10.4
25 Wuertz, Mike OAK RP 42.7 31 3 12 53 3.16 2.43 10.4
26 Downs, Scott TOR RP 28.3 21 1 5 30 2.22 2.14 10.4
27 Soria, Joakim A KC RP 24 17 1 7 30 2.25 2.20 10.2
28 Delcarmen, Manny BOS RP 33.7 33 0 16 24 3.21 3.34 10.2
29 Seay, Bobby DET RP 28 20 0 8 19 2.89 2.66 9.6
30 *Fuentes, Brian LAA RP 30.7 27 2 9 34 3.23 2.96 9.1
31 Rodney, Fernando DET RP 39 33 4 19 34 3.92 4.13 9.1
32 Ziegler, Brad G OAK RP 41.3 43 1 15 29 3.48 2.94 8.5
33 Linebrink, Scott CHA RP 32.7 30 4 12 32 3.31 3.80 8.3
34 Saito, Takashi BOS RP 30.7 30 4 13 28 3.52 4.50 8.2
35 Cruz, Juan KC RP 39.7 28 4 21 30 4.31 4.55 8.1
36 Carrasco, D.J. CHA RP 54.7 60 3 20 36 4.28 3.60 7.8
37 Wilson, C.J. TEX RP 38.7 36 3 17 32 4.42 3.91 7.7
38 Keppel, Bobby G MIN RP 12.3 8 0 6 6 0.73 3.89 7.4
39 Baez, Danys BAL RP 44.3 36 5 15 25 4.26 4.51 6.9
40 Albers, Matt J BAL RP 37.7 40 1 17 28 4.06 3.37 6.7
41 Wheeler, Dan TB RP 32.7 26 4 7 22 3.86 3.86 6.7
42 Bulger, Jason P LAA RP 39 29 7 18 41 4.38 4.77 6.7
43 Dotel, Octavio CHA RP 34.7 29 4 23 46 3.89 3.91 6.5
44 Camp, Shawn A TOR RP 41.7 39 3 17 30 4.10 3.81 6.4
45 Mathis, Doug TEX RP 16.7 12 1 6 4 2.70 4.72 6.4
46 Grilli, Jason TEX RP 12.3 6 1 4 6 1.46 4.21 6.3
47 French, Luke DET RP 14 12 2 6 8 1.93 5.16 6.3
48 Hayhurst, Dirk V TOR RP 14.7 16 1 8 9 1.84 4.45 6.0
49 Masterson, Justin BOS RP 65 70 7 23 59 5.12 3.99 6.0
50 Coke, Phil NYA RP 38.3 26 6 14 31 4.70 4.52 5.8
51 Guardado, Eddie TEX RP 25.7 27 4 9 15 4.21 5.19 5.7
52 Choate, Randy TB RP 14.7 9 2 5 15 2.45 3.70 5.3
53 Bard, Daniel P BOS RP 24.7 17 0 10 29 4.01 1.90 5.3
54 Jenks, Bobby CHA RP 31 28 5 6 30 4.06 3.90 5.2
55 Herges, Matt CLE RP 25.3 24 3 6 18 3.55 3.99 5.2
56 Batista, Miguel SEA RP 46 45 3 24 30 4.30 4.40 5.2
57 Ayala, Luis MIN RP 32.3 38 4 8 21 5.01 4.49 5.1
58 Zumaya, Joel M DET RP 30 29 4 21 30 4.50 4.79 5.1
59 Laffey, Aaron S CLE RP 40.3 39 1 21 20 4.24 4.13 5.1
60 Poreda, Aaron CHA RP 11 9 0 6 12 1.64 2.61 4.9
61 Speier, Justin LAA RP 33 29 4 14 33 4.64 4.19 4.8
62 Olson, Garrett SEA RP 57 50 12 18 33 4.58 5.84 4.6
63 Robertson, David A NYA RP 22.7 16 2 16 34 4.37 3.29 4.3
64 Mahay, Ron KC RP 29.3 34 5 12 28 4.91 4.80 4.1
65 Farnsworth, Kyle KC RP 23.3 24 2 6 25 4.63 2.90 4.0
66 Cameron, Kevin J OAK RP 18.3 15 1 6 15 3.44 3.21 3.9
67 Breslow, Craig OAK RP 20 13 1 7 16 3.60 3.41 3.9
68 Sipp, Tony M CLE RP 13 5 3 13 15 2.77 6.62 3.8
69 Bass, Brian M BAL RP 53.7 63 9 21 38 5.03 5.10 3.8
70 Balfour, Grant TB RP 41.7 36 2 21 42 4.97 3.35 3.4
71 Perry, Ryan DET RP 27.3 24 3 21 25 4.94 4.95 3.3
72 Ni, Fu-Te DET RP 8 6 1 1 8 2.25 3.16 3.3
73 Dolsi, Freddy DET RP 9.3 10 0 1 2 2.89 3.05 3.2
74 Betancourt, Rafael CLE RP 28.7 24 3 14 31 4.40 3.40 3.1
75 Isringhausen, Jason TB RP 8 6 0 5 6 2.25 4.28 3.1
76 Shouse, Brian TB RP 14.3 17 2 3 9 3.77 4.14 3.1
77 Murphy, Bill R TOR RP 11.3 4 1 8 6 3.18 5.37 2.9
78 Accardo, Jeremy TOR RP 10.3 9 2 8 9 3.48 6.55 2.3
79 Bruney, Brian A NYA RP 16.7 12 1 10 18 4.86 3.22 2.3
80 Colon, Roman KC RP 16.3 16 2 6 11 4.96 4.51 2.2
81 Tomko, Brett NYA RP 20.7 19 5 7 11 5.23 6.26 2.0
82 Tejeda, Robinson G KC RP 21.7 20 0 22 30 5.40 3.57 1.9
83 League, Brandon P TOR RP 42.7 41 5 14 39 5.06 3.98 1.9
84 Bullington, Bryan P TOR RP 6 7 0 6 5 3.00 3.99 1.7
85 Aquino, Greg CLE RP 16 13 1 15 11 4.50 4.85 1.5
86 Nelson, Joe TB RP 34 30 7 20 32 5.29 5.72 1.5
87 Lowe, Mark SEA RP 41.7 38 3 18 32 4.97 3.78 1.5
88 Duensing, Brian MIN RP 11.7 10 2 5 4 5.40 6.24 1.4
89 Abreu, Winston TB RP 3.7 3 0 2 3 2.45 3.16 1.3
90 Bowden, Michael BOS RP 2 0 0 0 2 0.00 1.16 1.3
91 Miner, Zach C DET RP 49.3 58 5 25 38 5.84 4.46 1.3
92 Mickolio, Kam BAL RP 2 0 0 0 1 0.00 2.16 1.3
93 Chulk, Vinnie CLE RP 12 10 1 10 4 4.50 6.08 1.2
94 Bradford, Chad TB RP 3.3 11 0 0 3 2.70 1.36 1.1
95 Arredondo, Jose J LAA RP 24.3 28 0 12 27 5.55 2.17 1.1
96 Thompson, Rich LAA RP 16.7 23 6 7 18 5.40 6.94 1.0
97 Gray, Jeff OAK RP 1.7 0 0 0 1 0.00 1.96 1.0
98 Carlson, Jesse C TOR RP 41.3 43 3 14 30 5.23 3.67 1.0
99 Albaladejo, Jonathan NYA RP 25 27 5 11 16 5.76 5.80 1.0
100 Rincon, Juan DET RP 10.3 12 2 6 10 5.23 5.48 0.9
101 Bale, John KC RP 14.3 14 2 8 13 5.65 4.62 0.9
102 Moscoso, Guillermo A TEX RP 4 6 0 1 3 4.50 2.41 0.8
103 Waechter, Doug KC RP 4 5 2 1 3 4.50 8.91 0.7
104 Ramirez, Edwar E NYA RP 17.3 18 6 15 16 5.71 8.41 0.7
105 Eyre, Willie M TEX RP 5.3 5 0 3 1 5.06 3.91 0.7
106 Swisher, Nick T NYA RP 1 1 0 1 1 0.00 4.16 0.7
107 Rundles, Rich CLE RP 1 1 0 1 1 0.00 7.16 0.6
108 Veras, Jose CLE RP 6 6 0 2 3 4.50 3.66 0.6
109 Wright, Jamey KC RP 42.7 45 6 17 28 6.12 5.08 0.5
110 Van Every, Jonathan E BOS RP 0.7 1 0 1 0 0.00 7.66 0.5
111 Veras, Jose NYA RP 25.7 23 5 14 18 5.96 6.39 0.4
112 Lewis, Jensen D CLE RP 39.3 40 9 16 36 5.26 5.37 0.3
113 Wood, Kerry CLE RP 30.7 27 6 17 33 5.28 5.21 0.2
114 Davidson, Daniel J LAA RP 1.7 3 0 3 0 5.40 6.76 0.1
115 Vizcaino, Luis CLE RP 11.7 8 2 12 9 5.40 6.42 -0.1
116 Giese, Dan OAK RP 22 22 5 9 11 5.32 6.20 -0.1
117 Broadway, Lance D CHA RP 16 19 0 9 9 5.63 3.53 -0.1
118 Walker, Jamie BAL RP 12.3 19 5 0 9 5.84 7.21 -0.3
119 Ramirez, Horacio KC RP 22.7 27 3 11 13 6.35 4.79 -0.3
120 Gonzalez, Edgar OAK RP 30.3 33 0 12 23 5.34 2.83 -0.3
121 Rapada, Clay DET RP 2.3 4 1 2 2 7.71 8.30 -0.4
122 Castillo, Alberto B BAL RP 2.3 3 0 2 1 7.71 6.16 -0.6
123 Breslow, Craig MIN RP 14.3 11 3 11 11 6.91 6.86 -0.6
124 Henn, Sean M MIN RP 11.3 9 2 8 9 7.15 5.98 -0.7
125 Holland, Derek TEX RP 60.3 76 11 18 46 6.41 4.90 -0.7
126 Percival, Troy TB RP 11.3 14 3 5 7 6.35 6.95 -0.8
127 Hendrickson, Mark BAL RP 57.3 68 9 21 40 5.81 4.75 -1.0
128 Kelley, Shawn SEA RP 13.7 18 3 3 11 5.93 4.84 -1.0
129 Melancon, Mark D NYA RP 5.7 5 0 5 2 7.94 5.63 -1.1
130 Whisler, Wesley CHA RP 1.3 0 0 3 2 13.50 6.91 -1.2
131 Smith, Joe CLE RP 19.7 19 2 13 21 5.95 4.33 -1.4
132 Thayer, Dale TB RP 5.3 8 0 1 0 8.44 3.72 -1.6
133 McCrory, Bob BAL RP 5 6 0 5 3 9.00 4.96 -1.9
134 Jones, Hunter BOS RP 9 10 2 4 7 8.00 5.49 -2.0
135 Wolfe, Brian T TOR RP 8.3 13 3 2 8 7.56 6.64 -2.0
136 Shields, Scot LAA RP 17.7 16 1 15 12 7.13 5.08 -2.2
137 Rodriguez, Fernando LAA RP 0.7 1 1 2 1 40.50 28.66 -2.5
138 Bonine, Eddie K DET RP 8 16 3 2 5 9.00 7.16 -2.5
139 Ryan, B.J. TOR RP 20.7 22 5 17 13 6.53 7.37 -2.5
140 Gobble, Jimmy CHA RP 12 14 3 7 10 7.50 6.74 -2.6
141 Stark, Denny SEA RP 11 13 2 10 7 7.36 6.98 -2.7
142 Humber, Philip G MIN RP 4.3 11 1 3 4 12.46 5.70 -2.7
143 Gosling, Mike F CLE RP 9 14 3 2 4 8.00 6.94 -2.8
144 Pena, Tony CHA RP 2 3 0 1 2 18.00 4.16 -2.8
145 Sarfate, Dennis S BAL RP 12.7 13 3 7 10 7.82 6.55 -3.0
146 Richard, Clayton C CHA RP 73 85 10 33 56 5.92 4.89 -3.1
147 Mendoza, Luis A TEX RP 1 2 1 1 0 36.00 22.16 -3.1
148 Corcoran, Roy SEA RP 17 23 2 16 6 6.88 6.98 -3.2
149 Morrow, Brandon J SEA RP 46 51 9 31 45 5.87 5.70 -3.2
150 Madrigal, Warner TEX RP 8 8 2 8 4 10.13 8.41 -3.2
151 Morillo, Juan B MIN RP 2 3 1 3 1 22.50 13.16 -3.3
152 Kobayashi, Masa CLE RP 9.7 12 2 4 4 8.38 6.57 -3.4
153 MacDougal, Mike CHA RP 4.3 7 0 7 3 12.46 6.62 -3.4
154 Perez, Chris CLE RP 4.3 6 1 1 4 12.46 6.39 -3.6
155 Blevins, Jerry OAK RP 4.3 7 1 3 3 12.46 6.16 -3.6
156 Robertson, Nate DET RP 21 25 2 14 17 7.71 4.64 -3.7
157 Crain, Jesse A MIN RP 17.7 22 3 12 13 8.66 5.59 -3.9
158 Ohka, Tomo CLE RP 32.3 38 9 10 12 6.40 7.06 -4.0
159 Rupe, Josh TEX RP 4.7 12 2 5 2 15.43 11.09 -4.5
160 Jakubauskas, Chris SEA RP 66 64 8 21 30 5.86 4.74 -4.5
161 Gonzalez, Gio OAK RP 24.3 35 3 14 28 7.03 3.94 -5.0
162 Jackson, Zach T CLE RP 8.7 14 2 4 10 10.38 5.93 -5.0
163 Lopez, Javier BOS RP 11.7 20 1 9 5 10.03 6.24 -5.1
164 Rodriguez, Rafael LAA RP 20.7 36 3 6 9 8.27 5.19 -5.2
165 Marte, Damaso NYA RP 5.3 9 3 3 6 15.19 9.91 -5.2
166 Abreu, Winston CLE RP 1.3 7 2 1 1 40.50 23.41 -5.4
167 Casilla, Santiago OAK RP 29.3 32 6 16 20 7.06 5.89 -6.1
168 Egbert, Jack CHA RP 2.7 8 1 2 0 27.00 9.16 -6.4
169 Claggett, Anthony NYA RP 1.7 9 2 2 2 43.20 19.96 -6.6
170 Ponson, Sidney KC RP 43.3 58 4 17 24 7.68 4.43 -6.7
171 Benson, Kris TEX RP 22.3 33 6 12 11 9.27 7.68 -7.0
172 Jepsen, Kevin M LAA RP 17 28 1 9 10 10.06 4.34 -7.6
173 Gallagher, Sean OAK RP 14.3 21 1 7 10 10.05 4.55 -8.0
174 Liz, Radhames BAL RP 1.3 8 1 2 1 67.50 20.41 -9.2
175 Ray, Chris BAL RP 21.3 36 4 13 23 9.70 4.85 -9.7
176 Perez, Rafael E CLE RP 25.3 37 3 18 21 8.88 4.94 -10.3


RA: Runs allowed per nine innings (earned and unearned)
FIP: Fielding independent pitching
RSAR: Runs saved above a replacement level reliever(not adjusted for leverage)

When I think top relievers, I usually think of Andrew Bailey first, so it's no suprise to see him topping this list. Whoever he is, he's having a very nice year. R.A. Dickey's reinvented himself as a knuckleballer and has been surprising effective, although his FIP thinks he's been pitching a little over his head. No surprise seeing Joe Nathan and Jon Papelbon near the top of the list, although Papelbon's walk rate has spiked this year and his FIP is much higher than his RA. Given his track record, I'd probably expect to see his peripherals improve moreso than to see his value degrade towards his FIP, but maybe we'll get lucky there.

Looking at the Yankees, Alfredo Aceves has actually been a touch more valuable than Mo if you ignore leverage due to more innings pitched. Given their respective FIPs, we shouldn't expect that to continue going forward. If Aceves remains in the rotation or gets a few spot starts, he'll likely also see a slight decrease in his overall effectiveness. Since beginning the year below his normal standards (3.97 ERA through May 7), Mo has been dominant (1.75 ERA since May 10).

Phil Hughes gets a bump here thanks to his time as a starter, but he's been outstanding in the pen and finally looks like the #1 prospect we heard so much about. Phil Coke's had a good year except for the HR ball, but gave up four runs in his last outing which knocked his value down by 3.5 runs. David Robertson's control is hurting his value, although he's still been useful. Brian Bruney and Brett Tomko haven't been very good, although there's possible upside with Bruney, who was dominant before going on the DL.

None of the other relievers are really worth talking about, except maybe Nick T. Swisher. I could watch clips of him fanning Gabe Kapler all day. I suppose I could mention the fact that Edwar Ramirez and Damaso Marte may end up contributing at some point this year, and that Mark Melancon has shown enough statistically and physically to expect that he should be better at some point in the not-so-distant future.

--Posted at 7:36 pm by SG / 22 Comments | - (166)


Wednesday, July 15, 2009

AL Starting Pitcher Run Values Through the All Star Break

Rank Name Team Role IP H HR BB K RA FIP RSAR
1 *Greinke, Zack Z KC SP 127.3 116 4 21 129 2.69 2.06 48.0
2 *Jackson, Edwin DET SP 121.7 94 10 35 97 2.96 3.52 41.0
3 Blackburn, Nick N MIN SP 123.3 129 10 29 54 3.65 4.04 37.1
4 Millwood, Kevin TEX SP 130 124 17 44 79 3.74 4.82 35.3
5 *Halladay, Roy TOR SP 123 118 10 17 106 3.00 2.96 34.3
6 *Hernandez, Felix A SEA SP 124.7 106 8 36 121 2.96 3.04 33.4
7 Weaver, Jered D LAA SP 120.3 99 14 36 104 3.44 3.87 33.0
8 *Verlander, Justin B DET SP 122.3 108 10 38 149 3.75 2.69 30.7
9 Sabathia, CC NYA SP 128.3 110 11 38 95 4.07 3.73 28.2
10 *Beckett, Josh BOS SP 121 104 10 35 110 3.87 3.36 27.7
11 Lee, Cliff CLE SP 127 143 8 33 93 3.47 3.34 27.3
12 Washburn, Jarrod SEA SP 112.3 94 11 28 72 3.20 3.95 26.9
13 Shields, James A TB SP 129 136 14 26 90 3.84 3.78 26.7
14 Garza, Matt TB SP 115.7 95 15 45 102 3.81 4.38 24.3
15 Romero, Ricky TOR SP 87 80 11 30 69 3.00 4.35 24.2
16 Feldman, Scott TEX SP 96.3 83 11 31 46 3.92 4.78 24.2
17 Burnett, A.J. NYA SP 107.3 95 14 53 101 4.02 4.65 24.1
18 Braden, Dallas L OAK SP 112.3 111 7 30 73 3.45 3.44 23.6
19 Lester, Jon T BOS SP 114 112 13 35 131 4.11 3.32 23.2
20 Buehrle, Mark CHA SP 118 114 17 26 66 3.89 4.63 22.1
21 Bergesen, Brad BAL SP 104.3 100 10 25 53 3.80 4.14 21.7
22 Bedard, Erik SEA SP 75.3 59 7 27 78 2.87 3.53 21.0
23 *Wakefield, Tim BOS SP 108.7 113 8 37 61 4.31 4.26 19.7
24 Bannister, Brian P KC SP 98.3 92 8 32 62 4.48 3.93 18.3
25 Danks, John W CHA SP 101.3 90 11 37 89 4.09 4.03 16.7
26 Niemann, Jeff TB SP 91.7 90 8 38 52 4.12 4.57 16.1
27 Richmond, Scott TOR SP 85.3 72 15 30 71 3.90 4.80 15.0
28 Slowey, Kevin MIN SP 90.7 113 15 15 75 4.96 4.28 14.9
29 Perkins, Glen W MIN SP 78.3 88 7 16 36 4.71 4.05 14.9
30 Padilla, Vicente TEX SP 89.3 96 7 39 49 4.74 4.63 14.8
31 Porcello, Rick A DET SP 87 96 13 31 47 4.66 5.12 13.4
32 Saunders, Joe LAA SP 112.3 115 21 39 64 4.89 5.57 13.1
33 Meche, Gil KC SP 108 113 11 49 87 5.17 4.29 12.2
34 Baker, Scott S MIN SP 101.3 102 18 21 82 5.51 4.47 10.9
35 Floyd, Gavin C CHA SP 115.7 110 10 41 92 4.75 3.73 10.5
36 Outman, Josh OAK SP 67.3 53 9 25 53 4.01 4.44 9.8
37 Hunter, Tommy TEX SP 23 21 2 9 13 2.35 4.20 9.6
38 Uehara, Koji BAL SP 66.7 71 7 12 48 4.45 3.58 9.0
39 Pettitte, Andy NYA SP 107.7 121 15 44 70 5.35 4.95 8.9
40 Vargas, Jason M SEA SP 63.7 67 10 19 41 4.10 4.76 8.7
41 Galarraga, Armando DET SP 99 110 17 43 65 5.27 5.47 8.6
42 McCarthy, Brandon P TEX SP 64 66 11 26 44 5.06 5.33 8.4
43 Mazzaro, Vince M OAK SP 47.7 48 4 15 30 3.78 3.87 8.2
44 Chamberlain, Joba L NYA SP 89 97 12 42 78 5.26 4.84 8.2
45 Liriano, Francisco MIN SP 102 106 14 46 93 5.82 4.62 7.6
46 Palmer, Matt LAA SP 75 72 7 34 43 5.04 4.67 7.5
47 Penny, Brad BOS SP 93.7 110 10 29 62 5.28 4.28 7.1
48 Swarzak, Anthony MIN SP 32 35 3 11 18 4.50 4.47 6.8
49 Hernandez, David BAL SP 32 38 3 12 17 3.94 4.44 6.1
50 O'Sullivan, Sean D LAA SP 23.7 26 4 6 15 3.80 4.72 5.6
51 Lackey, John LAA SP 73 85 8 21 61 5.30 3.98 5.3
52 Contreras, Jose CHA SP 73.3 70 8 22 55 5.03 3.94 4.2
53 Adenhart, Nick LAA SP 6 7 0 3 5 0.00 2.99 3.9
54 Hochevar, Luke KC SP 57.3 56 9 20 26 5.65 5.55 3.5
55 Rzepczynski, Marc W TOR SP 12 7 1 7 12 3.00 3.99 3.3
56 Tallet, Brian TOR SP 103.7 98 12 51 78 5.21 4.69 2.8
57 Moseley, Dustin A LAA SP 14.7 20 3 3 8 4.91 5.14 1.7
58 Loux, Shane LAA SP 38.3 52 2 14 14 5.63 4.28 1.3
59 Escobar, Kelvim LAA SP 5 4 0 4 5 3.60 4.16 1.3
60 Harrison, Matt TEX SP 63.3 81 9 23 34 6.11 5.12 1.3
61 Smoltz, John BOS SP 20 24 0 4 17 5.40 2.36 1.3
62 Davies, Kyle K KC SP 79.7 81 14 41 54 6.21 5.75 0.2
63 Rowland-Smith, Ryan B SEA SP 3.3 4 0 4 1 5.40 6.16 -0.1
64 Ray, Robert A TOR SP 24.3 23 4 6 13 5.55 5.21 -0.3
65 Cahill, Trevor OAK SP 98.3 100 18 41 47 5.31 5.89 -0.5
66 Cecil, Brett TOR SP 45 59 8 17 33 5.60 5.34 -0.8
67 Nippert, Dustin D TEX SP 7.3 12 1 3 6 7.36 4.52 -0.8
68 Lewis, Scott CLE SP 4.3 7 2 1 3 8.31 8.47 -1.5
69 Chen, Bruce KC SP 20 22 5 9 12 7.20 6.41 -2.1
70 Price, David T TB SP 44 41 7 31 47 6.14 5.27 -2.1
71 Figaro, Alfredo DET SP 11 18 2 4 12 8.18 4.70 -2.5
72 Guthrie, Jeremy BAL SP 101 110 20 34 62 5.88 5.66 -2.6
73 Pavano, Carl CLE SP 107 127 11 20 77 5.55 3.70 -2.6
74 Simon, Alfredo BAL SP 6.3 8 5 2 3 9.95 13.42 -3.1
75 Berken, Jason T BAL SP 46 57 3 17 26 6.26 4.25 -3.1
76 Bonderman, Jeremy DET SP 4 8 3 3 1 13.50 14.66 -3.2
77 Janssen, Casey C TOR SP 26 40 4 7 11 6.58 5.35 -3.3
78 Litsch, Jesse TOR SP 9 14 4 1 8 9.00 7.83 -3.6
79 Sowers, Jeremy B CLE SP 57.7 65 7 25 30 5.93 4.95 -3.9
80 Anderson, Brett F OAK SP 87.3 95 13 25 64 5.67 4.56 -4.1
81 Colon, Bartolo CHA SP 55.3 63 12 20 36 6.34 5.60 -5.0
82 Willis, Dontrelle DET SP 33.7 37 4 28 17 7.49 6.28 -5.1
83 Ortega, Anthony Y LAA SP 12.7 19 4 6 7 10.66 7.58 -6.5
84 Purcey, David K TOR SP 25.7 28 4 18 26 7.71 5.26 -6.6
85 Mills, Bradley TOR SP 7.7 14 4 6 9 14.09 9.94 -7.5
86 Reyes, Anthony L CLE SP 38.3 40 5 23 22 7.04 5.66 -7.5
87 Burres, Brian TOR SP 6.3 12 0 5 4 17.05 4.26 -8.4
88 Matsuzaka, Daisuke BOS SP 35 59 8 18 34 8.23 5.73 -8.6
89 Sonnanstine, Andy TB SP 81.7 103 15 22 50 6.72 5.17 -9.3
90 Eveland, Dana J OAK SP 27 47 3 19 17 8.33 5.34 -9.6
91 Santana, Ervin R LAA SP 40.3 60 8 17 30 8.26 5.66 -10.1
92 Hill, Rich BAL SP 52 59 6 32 43 7.44 4.79 -10.4
93 Silva, Carlos SEA SP 28.7 38 5 9 10 8.48 5.98 -10.6
94 Huff, David G CLE SP 56.3 74 9 18 32 7.03 5.06 -11.0
95 Eaton, Adam BAL SP 41 56 9 19 28 8.56 5.96 -13.3
96 Kazmir, Scott E TB SP 62 78 11 33 50 7.69 5.55 -13.8
97 Wang, Chien-Ming NYA SP 42 66 7 19 29 9.86 5.37 -16.9
98 Carmona, Fausto C CLE SP 60.7 69 9 41 36 8.16 6.08 -19.7


RA: Runs allowed per nine innings (earned and unearned)
FIP: Fielding independent pitching
RSAR: Runs saved above a replacement level starter
*Denotes All-Star

Although his ERA is starting to climb towards reasonable levels, Zach Greinke's still having a monster year. If you look at his FIP, his peripheral are better than his ERA shows, which bodes well for a strong second half. Edwin Jackson went from overrated in Tampa to perhaps underrated now. His peripherals this year are much improved, although his ERA looks like it may be a half run too high. Kevin Milwood has been putting up strings of good starts, but his FIP hasn't been very good and he's got an 8.83 ERA over his last three starts.

Looking at the Yankees, we see that C.C. Sabathia has been their most valuable starter despite being a slight disappointment. When Sabathia won the Cy Young in 2007, he walked 37 in 241 innings. This year's he's already walked 38 in 128.3 innings. We have a long track record of better from C.C., so we should expect better going forward. Of course, there are those he think he's an NL pitcher because of his time in Milwaukee, so I'll just remind them HE WON THE AL CY YOUNG IN 2007! A.J. Burnett's RA is right around his projections and he's been about as valuable as the numbers expected, which is a good thing. The bad thing is his underlying performance doesn't support either of those two items right now. So Burnett will likely have to actually start pitching better, or will lose some of his first half effectiveness. I'd bet on the former, but then again I liked the Burnett signing so I may be biased.

Despite their recent struggles, Andy Pettitte and Joba Chamberlain are still above replacement level once you adjust for park. There are still legitimate reasons to be concerned about them going forward though. Pettitte in particular concerns me. Given his age and the fact that he's gotten more and more hittable, I've felt his margin for error was pretty small. Still, he seems to have bad stretches every year so I wouldn't completely write him off yet.

I won't talk about Chien-Ming Wang. I'll just wish him a speedy recovery, especially given Joba's and Pettitte's issues.

I'm going to pull a Girardi and treat Phil Hughes as a reliever so I didn't include him here.

--Posted at 8:18 pm by SG / 60 Comments | - (174)


AL RF & DH Run Values Through the First Half of 2009

Player Team Pos PA AVG OBP SLG BRAR RSAA TRAR
Choo, Shin-Soo CLE RF 359 .304 .409 .498 26 3 29
Suzuki, Ichiro* SEA RF 352 .358 .390 .479 19 5 25
Cruz, Nelson TEX RF 316 .262 .326 .528 15 4 19
Dye, Jermaine CHA RF 306 .290 .363 .566 18 1 18
Abreu, Bobby LAA RF 331 .301 .405 .437 18 -2 16
Swisher, Nick NYA RF 320 .243 .371 .483 13 -1 13
Cuddyer, Michael MIN RF 324 .277 .358 .523 15 -3 12
Gross, Gabe TB RF 177 .278 .384 .424 6 5 12
Drew, J.D. BOS RF 297 .259 .380 .482 15 -4 11
Kapler, Gabe TB RF 123 .245 .333 .500 5 3 7
Markakis, Nick BAL RF 372 .293 .352 .446 10 -7 3
Van Every, Jonathan BOS RF 13 .364 .462 .636 2 0 2
Thomas, Clete DET RF 127 .237 .315 .412 0 2 2
Baldelli, Rocco BOS RF 89 .278 .360 .468 2 -1 2
Rios, Alex TOR RF 374 .260 .316 .418 -1 2 2
Nady, Xavier NYA RF 29 .286 .310 .429 0 0 0
Buck, Travis OAK RF 101 .226 .287 .355 -3 3 0
Joyce, Matt TB RF 37 .188 .270 .500 1 -2 -1
Wise, DeWayne CHA RF 88 .203 .259 .291 -6 3 -3
Cunningham, Aaron OAK RF 50 .152 .220 .261 -5 1 -4
Matthews Jr., Gary LAA RF 159 .228 .283 .331 -5 -3 -8
Ordonez, Magglio DET RF 291 .260 .330 .344 -5 -5 -10
Guillen, Jose KC RF 271 .250 .325 .381 -3 -12 -15


Player Team Pos PA AVG OBP SLG BRAR RSAA TRAR
Lind, Adam TOR DH 359 .308 .382 .558 19 -3 16
Scott, Luke BAL DH 249 .305 .386 .595 17 -4 14
Kubel, Jason MIN DH 283 .302 .360 .531 11 0 12
Thome, Jim CHA DH 258 .252 .399 .485 11 0 11
Matsui, Hideki NYA DH 262 .268 .366 .518 10 0 10
Hafner, Travis CLE DH 142 .281 .387 .570 9 0 9
Blalock, Hank TEX DH 260 .249 .292 .531 4 0 4
Jones, Andruw TEX DH 182 .239 .341 .523 6 -3 3
Thames, Marcus DET DH 123 .257 .325 .532 3 0 2
Pena, Brayan KC DH 50 .326 .360 .543 2 0 2
Carp, Mike SEA DH 13 .375 .538 .375 1 0 2
Larish, Jeff DET DH 90 .216 .344 .446 0 1 1
Ramirez, Wilkin DET DH 3 .333 .333 1.333 1 0 1
Dillon, Joe TB DH 29 .320 .414 .440 1 0 0
Dellucci, David CLE DH 61 .275 .333 .350 -1 0 -1
Carter, Chris BOS DH 6 .000 .000 .000 -1 0 -1
McDonald, John TOR DH 30 .267 .267 .367 -2 0 -2
Garciaparra, Nomar OAK DH 79 .270 .304 .392 -3 -1 -4
Guerrero, Vladimir LAA DH 185 .290 .319 .415 -5 0 -4
Burrell, Pat TB DH 202 .222 .337 .322 -5 0 -5
Sweeney, Mike SEA DH 129 .250 .295 .383 -5 -1 -5
Griffey Jr., Ken SEA DH 258 .218 .337 .407 -2 -4 -5
Ortiz, David BOS DH 319 .223 .317 .394 -5 -1 -6
Jacobs, Mike KC DH 274 .223 .299 .409 -6 -1 -6
Cust, Jack OAK DH 324 .225 .315 .408 -6 -1 -7


BRAR: Batting runs above replacement level (position and park-adjusted) using linear weights
RSAA: Runs saved above average defensively using zone rating for non-catchers
TRAR: Total runs above replacement level (BRAR + RSAA)
* denotes All Star
** stats were compiled as of July 7

Poor Shin-Soo Choo is toiling in anonymity in Cleveland. I had no idea he was having such a strong season. Seems like he deserves to be an All Star, but nope, only Ichiro makes it from this list. That's not to say Ichiro doesn't deserve it, he's having a very good year on both sides of the ball and has been good since coming into MLB, even if slightly overrated.

Nick Swisher's overall numbers are decent, but it's worth nothing that he's hit .208/.333/.365 in 242 PAs since April. Still, at a cost of Wilson Betemit, it's tough to complain about Swisher's overall performance to this point. And for those pining for Alexis Rios, maybe you should pine for Clete Thomas instead.

Moving onto the DHs, some of the DHs have played enough in the field to have accumulated defensive stats, so I've included those. In just about every instance, they show why a player is primarily a DH.

Adam Lind had been a disappointment prior to this year, but he is finally showing the bat that made him a pretty highly touted prospect, and at age 25 there's a good chance it's not entirely a fluke.

Hideki Matsui's had wild performance swings, but overall he's been solid at DH, around 10 runs above replacement level. DH replacement level is set to a league average hitter, compared to replacement level at other positions being around 80% of positional average. This takes care of rewarding DHs for not playing defense at all.

I expected Pat Burrell to scuffle a little in the AL, but not nearly as much as he has. Unfortunately, it looks like David Ortiz is climbing back towards respectability, although he has a ways to go yet. And yeah, Dayton Moore hasn't really distinguished himself this season between signing The Farns, trading for Mike Jacobs, and now trading for Yuniesky Betancourt. At least he didn't trade for Jeff Francouer, right?

I'll look at starting pitches and relievers next, then hopefully on to projections for the second half over the end of this week or beginning of next week.
--Posted at 6:01 am by SG / 23 Comments | - (130)


Tuesday, July 14, 2009

A.L. All-Stars @ N.L. All-Stars, Tuesday, July 14, 2009, 08:00 pm **Game Chatter**

ALS: Roy Halladay (32,RHP, 10-3, 2.85) vs. NLS: Tim Lincecum (25, RHP, 10-2, 2.33)

Lineups
AL All-Stars
I. Suzuki, RF (.362/.393/.480)
D. Jeter, SS (.321/.396/.461)
J. Mauer, C (.373/.447/.622)
M. Teixeira, 1B (.275/.378/.535)
J. Bay, LF (.260/.380/.527)
J. Hamilton, CF (.243/.298/.428)
M. Young, 3B (.308/.363/.488)
A. Hill, 2B (.292/.333/.487)
R. Halladay, P (.000/.000/.000)

NL All-Stars
H. Ramirez, SS (.349/.411/.567)
C. Utley, 2B (.313/.430/.573)
A. Pujols, 1B (.332/.456/.723)
R. Braun, RF (.310/.391/.530)
R. Ibanez, LF (.309/.367/.649)
D. Wright, 3B (.324/.410/.462)
S. Victorino, CF (.309/.375/.464)
Y. Molina, C (.280/.352/.383)
T. Lincecum, P (.184/.256/.211)

Go AL.

--Posted at 5:06 pm by SG / 47 Comments | - (130)


AL CF Run Values Through the First Half of 2009

Player Team Pos PA AVG OBP SLG BRAR RSAA TRAR
Hunter, Torii* LAA CF 324 .305 .380 .558 27 2 29
Granderson, Curtis* DET CF 374 .257 .340 .462 17 5 21
Gutierrez, Franklin SEA CF 297 .295 .360 .441 9 7 16
Byrd, Marlon TEX CF 292 .288 .332 .476 13 3 16
Jones, Adam* BAL CF 332 .307 .361 .495 18 -4 14
Gardner, Brett NYA CF 201 .287 .362 .420 8 0 8
Sizemore, Grady CLE CF 287 .235 .323 .462 8 1 8
Crisp, Coco KC CF 215 .228 .336 .378 5 2 7
Cabrera, Melky NYA CF 262 .278 .336 .432 6 1 7
Hamilton, Josh* TEX CF 147 .263 .313 .474 5 1 6
Ellsbury, Jacoby BOS CF 347 .303 .352 .410 14 -8 6
Sweeney, Ryan OAK CF 269 .265 .317 .355 -3 8 4
Upton, B.J. TB CF 354 .240 .330 .380 8 -7 1
Gomez, Carlos MIN CF 194 .220 .276 .322 -5 5 0
Golson, Greg TEX CF 1 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0
Owens, Jerry CHA CF 15 .083 .267 .083 -1 1 0
Hairston, Scott OAK CF 5 .200 .200 .800 0 -1 -1
Maier, Mitch KC CF 148 .215 .295 .315 -2 2 -1
Davis, Rajai OAK CF 121 .248 .322 .321 -2 1 -1
Crowe, Trevor CLE CF 74 .169 .250 .215 -5 1 -4
Freel, Ryan KC CF 24 .333 .333 .333 0 -4 -4
Wells, Vernon TOR CF 375 .262 .312 .410 5 -10 -5
Anderson, Brian CHA CF 197 .231 .318 .312 -5 0 -5


BRAR: Batting runs above replacement level (position and park-adjusted) using linear weights
RSAA: Runs saved above average defensively using zone rating for non-catchers
TRAR: Total runs above replacement level (BRAR + RSAA)
* denotes All Star
** stats were compiled as of July 7

Brett Gardner > Grady Sizemore, just like I expected.

--Posted at 6:57 am by SG / 36 Comments | - (113)


Monday, July 13, 2009

AL LF Run Values Through the First Half of 2009

Player Team Pos PA AVG OBP SLG BRAR RSAA TRAR
Crawford, Carl* TB LF 367 .313 .371 .451 22 2 25
Damon, Johnny NYA LF 342 .284 .370 .528 24 -1 23
Rivera, Juan LAA LF 305 .317 .357 .539 19 3 22
Span, Denard MIN LF 319 .290 .377 .382 10 7 18
Bay, Jason* BOS LF 355 .265 .375 .540 27 -12 15
Holliday, Matt OAK LF 346 .275 .373 .416 13 2 15
Raburn, Ryan DET LF 125 .279 .360 .505 7 4 11
Podsednik, Scott CHA LF 263 .310 .366 .402 7 3 10
Reimold, Nolan BAL LF 178 .270 .348 .472 7 2 9
Murphy, David TEX LF 222 .274 .355 .447 9 0 9
Bautista, Jose TOR LF 163 .262 .400 .369 6 1 7
Quentin, Carlos CHA LF 151 .229 .325 .458 4 -1 4
Francisco, Ben CLE LF 289 .248 .326 .398 4 -2 3
Langerhans, Ryan SEA LF 25 .300 .360 .500 1 1 3
DeJesus, David KC LF 336 .258 .311 .412 2 1 2
Chavez, Endy SEA LF 182 .273 .328 .342 0 2 2
Kelly, Don DET LF 53 .250 .308 .354 0 1 1
Montanez, Lou BAL LF 55 .204 .273 .347 -1 1 0
Snider, Travis TOR LF 108 .242 .292 .394 -1 1 0
Inglett, Joe TOR LF 27 .167 .231 .167 -2 1 -1
LaPorta, Matt CLE LF 49 .190 .286 .286 -2 1 -1
Adams, Russ TOR LF 21 .200 .238 .200 -2 0 -2
Dellucci, David TOR LF 61 .000 .188 .000 -3 0 -2
Boggs, Brandon TEX LF 18 .059 .111 .118 -3 0 -3
Anderson, Josh DET LF 155 .250 .279 .324 -4 0 -3
Balentien, Wladimir SEA LF 150 .225 .273 .362 -3 -2 -5
Freel, Ryan BAL LF 24 .133 .350 .133 -1 -4 -5
Guillen, Carlos DET LF 101 .200 .267 .244 -6 0 -6
Pie, Felix BAL LF 119 .234 .299 .355 -2 -4 -6
Young, Delmon MIN LF 199 .270 .296 .349 -5 -2 -8



BRAR: Batting runs above replacement level (position and park-adjusted) using linear weights
RSAA: Runs saved above average defensively using zone rating for non-catchers
TRAR: Total runs above replacement level (BRAR + RSAA)
* denotes All Star
** stats were compiled as of July 7

Carl Crawford is a good example of how just looking at OPS ignores large parts of a player’s value. Despite having an OPS lower than several players behind him, his defense and high number of steals at a good percentage have made him the most valuable LF in the AL to this point in the season. Johnny Damon’s second despite tailing off quite a bit lately (.235/.339/.416 since May 19).

Damon joins Juan Rivera and Denard Span as players who were seemingly denied a spot on the All Star team, which is fine. After all, squeezing in a sixth Red Sock is important.  I kid.  Bay’s probably not really a -12 defender, UZR says -9 and it supposedly adjusts for Fenway.  So that makes him a +18, which is still worse than Rivera and Damon, and ties him with Span.  Maybe I shouldn’t kid.  Maybe I should be outraged.

Left field is generally considered a strong offensive position, but looking at the AL LF this year I’m left fairly unimpressed. Almost as unimpressed as when I watch the Yankees play the Angels. Not quite, but almost.

--Posted at 4:10 pm by SG / 16 Comments | - (135)


Friday, July 10, 2009

AL SS Run Values Through the First Half of 2009

Player Team Pos PA AVG OBP SLG BRAR RSAA TRAR
Scutaro, Marco TOR SS 405 .282 .382 .413 22 16 38
Bartlett, Jason* TB SS 252 .354 .398 .555 29 0 29
Jeter, Derek* NYA SS 362 .313 .393 .455 27 -4 23
Andrus, Elvis TEX SS 251 .267 .325 .369 8 6 14
Ramirez, Alexei CHA SS 322 .276 .328 .420 12 0 12
Vizquel, Omar TEX SS 82 .297 .342 .378 4 4 8
Bloomquist, Willie KC SS 226 .283 .335 .385 9 -2 7
Aybar, Erick LAA SS 251 .277 .321 .371 5 2 6
Everett, Adam DET SS 217 .265 .322 .354 3 2 5
Cabrera, Asdrubal CLE SS 262 .298 .354 .409 11 -6 5
Santiago, Ramon DET SS 142 .273 .309 .461 5 -1 4
Harris, Brendan MIN SS 277 .270 .310 .371 3 0 3
Izturis, Cesar BAL SS 159 .260 .293 .327 0 2 2
Green, Nick BOS SS 213 .263 .324 .407 5 -4 2
Peralta, Jhonny CLE SS 317 .254 .330 .367 6 -5 1
Brignac, Reid TB SS 61 .271 .295 .390 0 -1 -1
Velazquez, Gil BOS SS 3 .000 .333 .000 0 0 -1
Andino, Robert BAL SS 149 .236 .268 .293 -5 3 -2
Cedeno, Ronny SEA SS 144 .156 .217 .297 -7 5 -2
Punto, Nick MIN SS 205 .218 .328 .242 -1 -2 -3
Lugo, Julio BOS SS 123 .284 .352 .367 5 -8 -3
Hernandez, Luis KC SS 53 .204 .235 .204 -3 0 -3
Lowrie, Jed BOS SS 20 .056 .150 .056 -3 -1 -3
Pena, Tony KC SS 47 .089 .128 .111 -6 0 -6
Cabrera, Orlando OAK SS 360 .250 .289 .331 -5 -2 -8
Aviles, Mike KC SS 127 .183 .208 .250 -8 -3 -11
Betancourt, Yuniesky SEA SS 245 .250 .278 .330 -4 -11 -15


BRAR: Batting runs above replacement level (position and park-adjusted) using linear weights
RSAA: Runs saved above average defensively using zone rating for non-catchers
TRAR: Total runs above replacement level (BRAR + RSAA)
* denotes All Star
** stats were compiled as of July 7

I'd feel bad for Marco Scutaro not making the All Star team if he hadn't hit that cheap HR off Mo back in 2007. Since he did, I don't care. Bartlett's starting to cool off a little, but is still having an outstanding offensive season. Derek Jeter's offense is right there with Bartlett thanks to an edge in playing time and in SB. Zone rating isn't a fan of Jeter's defense, although UZR thinks he's been around average. Whichever you believe, he's clearly not the horrific defender some people make him out to be.

--Posted at 11:59 am by SG / 49 Comments | - (132)


Thursday, July 9, 2009

AL 3B Run Values Through the First Half of 2009

Player Team Pos PA AVG OBP SLG BRAR RSAA TRAR
Inge, Brandon* DET 3B 330 .267 .362 .505 18 11 28
Rolen, Scott TOR 3B 308 .325 .386 .480 20 6 26
Longoria, Evan* TB 3B 333 .285 .363 .536 21 3 24
Figgins, Chone LAA 3B 371 .310 .393 .402 19 4 23
Crede, Joe MIN 3B 262 .230 .298 .438 4 13 17
Rodriguez, Alex NYA 3B 231 .246 .411 .514 18 -2 16
Young, Michael* TEX 3B 355 .313 .369 .492 22 -10 11
Teahen, Mark KC 3B 319 .288 .348 .445 12 -2 10
DeRosa, Mark CLE 3B 314 .270 .342 .457 10 -2 9
Beckham, Gordon CHA 3B 110 .265 .339 .418 2 0 2
Hinske, Eric NYA 3B 6 .400 .500 1.000 1 1 2
Hannahan, Jack OAK 3B 134 .193 .278 .303 -5 6 1
Woodward, Chris SEA 3B 45 .300 .341 .325 0 1 1
Wood, Brandon LAA 3B 10 .333 .400 .333 0 0 0
Lowell, Mike BOS 3B 282 .282 .319 .470 6 -6 0
Salazar, Oscar BAL 3B 26 .385 .385 .500 1 -2 0
Gordon, Alex KC 3B 26 .095 .269 .238 -1 1 0
Buscher, Brian MIN 3B 117 .198 .333 .302 0 0 -1
Pena, Ramiro NYA 3B 92 .267 .308 .349 -1 0 -1
Wilson, Josh SEA 3B 2 .000 .000 .000 -1 -2 -2
Mora, Melvin BAL 3B 248 .257 .316 .314 -5 2 -3
Wigginton, Ty BAL 3B 220 .256 .295 .391 -2 -2 -4
Chavez, Eric OAK 3B 31 .100 .129 .133 -5 1 -4
Beltre, Adrian SEA 3B 313 .259 .291 .374 -4 0 -4
Berroa, Angel NYA 3B 24 .136 .174 .182 -3 -2 -5
Ransom, Cody NYA 3B 66 .177 .227 .306 -4 -3 -7
Fields, Josh CHA 3B 236 .230 .312 .359 -2 -6 -8


BRAR: Batting runs above replacement level (position and park-adjusted) using linear weights
RSAA: Runs saved above average defensively using zone rating for non-catchers
TRAR: Total runs above replacement level (BRAR + RSAA)
* denotes All Star
** stats were compiled as of July 7

Were Brandon Inge not voted in by the fans, he'd have been the top 3B in the AL so far but not an All Star. Inge's always had a very good glove at third, but this year he's hitting better than he ever has. Scott Rolen's having a good year on both sides of the ball, but apparently no one really cares. Evan Longoria's a very good player, and a worthy All Star, even if these particular metrics show him as a few runs worse than Inge and Rolen.

Obviously we know that Alex Rodriguez hasn't played a full season. If we gave him 350 PAs he'd slot in between Rolen and Longoria. But we can't. So he doesn't.

Michael Young's been the most valuable offensive 3B in the AL, but zone rating isn't a fan of his glove, which takes a big chunk out of his overall value. I thought this may be a ZR specific issue, but UZR has Young at -11, so there's not much disagreement there. And look at Cody Ransom. He's not the least valuable 3B in the AL this year after all.

Oh, and this is pretty cool.

--Posted at 10:37 pm by SG / 38 Comments | - (123)


AL 2B Run Values Through the First Half of 2009

Player Team Pos PA AVG OBP SLG BRAR RSAA TRAR
Zobrist, Ben* TB 2B 275 .282 .404 .595 29 4 33
Kinsler, Ian TEX 2B 378 .252 .329 .498 22 10 31
Pedroia, Dustin* BOS 2B 369 .290 .370 .392 13 7 20
Roberts, Brian BAL 2B 374 .275 .340 .438 16 0 16
Hill, Aaron* TOR 2B 395 .296 .335 .495 16 -1 16
Cano, Robinson NYA 2B 357 .305 .336 .491 13 -1 13
Callaspo, Alberto KC 2B 309 .300 .353 .449 12 -2 10
Polanco, Placido DET 2B 332 .262 .313 .397 3 6 10
Carroll, Jamey CLE 2B 157 .276 .374 .343 3 6 9
Iwamura, Akinori TB 2B 176 .310 .377 .406 9 -1 9
Nix, Jayson CHA 2B 106 .229 .292 .479 3 5 8
Izturis, Maicer LAA 2B 210 .303 .354 .420 8 0 8
Kennedy, Adam OAK 2B 243 .295 .356 .442 10 -4 6
Aybar, Willy TB 2B 173 .281 .376 .473 10 -4 6
Ellis, Mark OAK 2B 99 .231 .286 .341 -2 5 3
Barfield, Josh CLE 2B 20 .400 .400 .450 1 -1 0
Kendrick, Howie LAA 2B 213 .227 .275 .343 -4 3 -1
Patterson, Eric OAK 2B 8 .125 .125 .125 -1 0 -1
Getz, Chris CHA 2B 252 .245 .303 .336 0 -1 -2
Rodriguez, Sean LAA 2B 19 .118 .211 .294 -2 -1 -2
Hulett, Tug KC 2B 14 .071 .071 .071 -3 0 -2
Graffanino, Tony CLE 2B 24 .130 .167 .174 -3 0 -3
Petit, Gregorio OAK 2B 31 .226 .226 .258 -3 -1 -3
Tolbert, Matt MIN 2B 149 .183 .273 .230 -6 1 -5
Valbuena, Luis CLE 2B 154 .213 .273 .376 -2 -6 -8
Lopez, Jose SEA 2B 315 .257 .288 .425 -1 -7 -8
Lillibridge, Brent CHA 2B 79 .162 .260 .191 -5 -4 -8
Casilla, Alexi MIN 2B 121 .180 .242 .225 -8 -6 -14


BRAR: Batting runs above replacement level (position and park-adjusted) using linear weights.
RSAA: Runs saved above average defensively using zone rating for non-catchers, SB/CS/WP/E for catchers
TRAR: Total runs above replacement level (BRAR + RSAA)
* denotes All Star
** stats were compiled as of July 7

Now we finally see some people being robbed, as Ian Kinsler has an argument to being the second most valuable 2B in the league but wasn't selected to the All Star game (and just lost the final spot vote to Brandon Inge).Brian Roberts also appears to be about even with Aaron Hill, although it's close enough that I have no problem with Hill getting the nod given the margin of error in these numbers.

Our friend Robinson Cano has bounced back from last year's disaster, although his performance in more important spots to this point in time has been brutal. While Cano's triple slash numbers compare favorably with some of the people ahead of him on the list, park factors, DPs, and .500 CS rate knock him down. We're pretty close to the point where we have to accept that Cano is what he is. A guy who should hit .305/.335/.490 or so while playing occasionally good and occasionally bad defense at 2B. There are worse things to have on your team.

BTW, WTF happened to Howie Kendrick? I guess he'll get his numbers up against the Yanks coming up here.

--Posted at 5:43 pm by SG / 95 Comments | - (122)


Wednesday, July 8, 2009

AL Catcher Run Values Through the First Half of 2009

Player Team Pos PA AVG OBP SLG BRAR RSAA TRAR
Mauer, Joe* MIN C 259 .384 .459 .639 37 5 41
Martinez, Victor* CLE C 360 .299 .378 .500 25 -4 21
Laird, Gerald DET C 251 .237 .324 .363 5 9 14
Varitek, Jason BOS C 256 .243 .344 .482 15 -2 13
Suzuki, Kurt OAK C 313 .284 .330 .412 8 4 12
Posada, Jorge NYA C 209 .282 .364 .514 14 -4 10
Barajas, Rod TOR C 251 .263 .297 .422 5 1 7
Napoli, Mike LAA C 225 .284 .373 .490 15 -9 6
Zaun, Gregg BAL C 167 .241 .341 .372 4 1 6
Olivo, Miguel KC C 217 .249 .273 .498 7 -2 4
Johjima, Kenji SEA C 116 .255 .287 .373 -1 5 4
Chavez, Raul TOR C 81 .275 .275 .388 -1 5 4
Cervelli, Francisco NYA C 85 .269 .284 .346 -2 4 2
Saltalamacchia, Jarrod TEX C 243 .250 .305 .375 2 -1 2
Wieters, Matt BAL C 109 .267 .321 .416 2 -1 1
Pierzynski, A.J. CHA C 265 .302 .332 .456 9 -7 1
Morales, Jose MIN C 70 .344 .400 .406 4 -3 1
Powell, Landon OAK C 75 .221 .280 .382 0 2 1
Hernandez, Michel TB C 71 .265 .286 .338 -2 2 0
Teagarden, Taylor TEX C 77 .232 .289 .319 -1 1 0
Shoppach, Kelly CLE C 179 .196 .322 .365 2 -3 0
Mathis, Jeff LAA C 142 .205 .295 .303 -2 0 -2
Moeller, Chad BAL C 54 .200 .259 .360 -1 -1 -3
Buck, John KC C 97 .226 .313 .452 3 -6 -3
Kottaras, George BOS C 84 .230 .286 .392 1 -6 -5
Redmond, Mike MIN C 91 .229 .297 .277 -2 -3 -5
Johnson, Rob SEA C 148 .195 .260 .316 -5 -1 -6
Navarro, Dioner TB C 256 .214 .244 .324 -9 -1 -10


BRAR: Batting runs above replacement level (position and park-adjusted) using linear weights
RSAA: Runs saved above average defensively using zone rating for non-catchers, SB/CS/WP/E for catchers
TRAR: Total runs above replacement level (BRAR + RSAA)
* denotes All Star

Players are listed at their primary position in 2009. I'll try and run through all the positions over the next few days.
--Posted at 3:55 pm by SG / 17 Comments | - (140)


Sunday, July 5, 2009

Yankees.com: Jeter, Tex, Mo headed to All-Star Game

NEW YORK—Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter received the most votes in the American League and first baseman Mark Teixeira edged Red Sox counterpart Kevin Youkilis to represent the Junior Circuit at the 2009 All-Star Game in St. Louis.

Yankees closer Mariano Rivera, just the second player in Major League history to record 500 or more saves, was also tabbed in player balloting to serve in the AL’s bullpen for the July 14 contest in St. Louis.

Jeter and Rivera are Yankees All-Stars for the 10th times in their careers, with Jeter representing the AL for the fourth consecutive year and Rivera making it for the fifth time in the past six seasons. Teixeira is an All-Star for just the second time, having made his only prior appearance in 2004.

All three deserving.  I was surprised to see that Teix has only been an All Star once before.

Nice comeback win today after Joba Chamberlain’s worst start of the year.  All Star Jeter hit the go-ahead two-run HR in the fifth, turning an 8-7 deficit into a 9-8 lead, then Alfredo Aceves pitched four dominant innings to earn his first save of the year, while providing a much-needed rest to his teammates in the bullpen.

The Yankees are 15 games over .500 for the first time this year.

--Posted at 4:04 pm by SG / 56 Comments | - (126)


Tuesday, July 8, 2008

AL RF sorted by Total Offensive and Defensive Runs Above Average - July 8, 2008

Player Tm Lg Pos pBRAA RSAA Total
Markakis, Nick BAL AL RF 15 3 18
Drew, J.D.* BOS AL RF 20 -4 16
Dye, Jermaine CHA AL RF 14 -3 11
Ordonez, Magglio DET AL RF 8 3 10
Gross, Gabe TB AL RF 0 4 4
Hinske, Eric TB AL RF 6 -4 2
Guerrero, Vladimir LAA AL RF 4 -2 2
Span, Denard MIN AL RF 1 0 2
Rios, Alex TOR AL RF -4 5 0
Morse, Mike SEA AL RF 0 0 0
Murphy, David TEX AL RF -2 2 0
Reed, Jeremy SEA AL RF -1 0 0
Ruggiano, Justin TB AL RF 0 0 -1
Moss, Brandon BOS AL RF -1 0 -1
Choo, Shin-Soo CLE AL RF 0 -1 -1
Wilkerson, Brad SEA AL RF -3 1 -1
Haynes, Nathan TB AL RF -4 1 -3
Teahen, Mark KC AL RF -6 3 -3
Wilkerson, Brad TOR AL RF -6 1 -5
Gutierrez, Franklin CLE AL RF -15 10 -5
Buck, Travis OAK AL RF -9 1 -9
Balentien, Wladimir SEA AL RF -9 -2 -10
Cuddyer, Michael MIN AL RF -7 -4 -11
Abreu, Bobby NYA AL RF -1 -15 -16


pBRAA: Position-adjusted batting runs above average using linear weights
RSAA: Defensive runs saved above average

*All Star selection

Remember when people were calling J.D. Drew Nancy? Who's laughing now?

I have no idea what's up with Abreu's zone rating. He's been horrific statistically but he hasn't looked quite that bad to me. Right now, he's the worst RF in the league. For the bargain price of $16 million.
--Posted at 11:53 am by SG / 14 Comments | - (343)


Monday, July 7, 2008

AL DH sorted by Total Offensive Runs Above Average - July 7, 2008

Last First Tm pBRAA
Bradley* Milton TEX 28
Huff Aubrey BAL 10
Matsui Hideki NYA 8
Thomas Frank OAK 6
Thome Jim CHA 3
Ortiz* David BOS 3
Norton Greg SEA 2
Floyd Cliff TB 1
Salazar Oscar BAL 1
Bankston Wes W OAK 0
Bailey Jeff T BOS 0
Luna Hector TOR 0
Johnson Dan R OAK 0
Morales Kendry LAA 0
Kubel Jason J MIN -1
Diaz Robinzon TOR -1
Sweeney Mike OAK -2
Gomes Jonny TB -3
Monroe Craig MIN -3
Larish Jeffrey DET -3
Thomas Frank TOR -4
Stairs Matt TOR -4
Hafner Travis CLE -5
Sheffield Gary DET -6
Butler Billy R KC -9
Vidro Jose SEA -19


pBRAA: Position-adjusted batting runs above average using linear weights

*All Star selection

Although some of these people have worn gloves at points in the season, I'm ignoring their defensive contributions or lack thereof. I am probably far more amused than I should be about the fact that Frank Thomas was -4 for the Blue Jays and has been +6 for Oakland. Good job J.P.
--Posted at 9:12 pm by SG / 10 Comments | - (177)


AL LF sorted by Total Offensive and Defensive Runs Above Average - July 7, 2008

Player Tm Lg Pos pBRAA RSAA Total
Damon, Johnny NYA AL LF 14 1 15
Quentin, Carlos* CHA AL LF 15 -3 12
DeJesus, David KC AL LF 9 3 12
Crawford, Carl TB AL LF 1 11 12
Scott, Luke BAL AL LF 7 4 11
**Ramirez, Manny* BOS AL LF 13 -4 9
Thames, Marcus DET AL LF 7 -1 6
Joyce, Matt DET AL LF 1 4 5
Cust, Jack OAK AL LF 7 -3 4
Francisco, Ben CLE AL LF 1 3 4
Thomas, Clete DET AL LF 2 1 3
**Ellsbury, Jacoby BOS AL LF 3 -1 2
Raburn, Ryan DET AL LF 0 1 1
Coats, Buck TOR AL LF 0 1 1
Anderson, Garret LAA AL LF -5 6 1
Carter, Chris BOS AL LF 1 0 0
Guillen, Jose KC AL LF -1 1 0
Tyner, Jason CLE AL LF 0 0 0
Payton, Jay BAL AL LF -6 6 0
Jimerson, Charlton SEA AL LF -1 0 -1
Gardner, Brett NYA AL LF -2 1 -1
Clevlen, Brent DET AL LF -2 1 -1
Christian, Justin NYA AL LF -2 0 -2
Boggs, Brandon TEX AL LF 0 -2 -2
Lind, Adam TOR AL LF -4 1 -2
Denorfia, Chris OAK AL LF -2 -2 -4
Willits, Reggie LAA AL LF -4 0 -4
Thurston, Joe BOS AL LF -2 -2 -4
Michaels, Jason CLE AL LF -4 0 -4
Rivera, Juan LAA AL LF -6 1 -5
Young, Delmon MIN AL LF -4 -1 -5
Mench, Kevin TOR AL LF -4 -2 -6
Jones, Jacque DET AL LF -8 1 -7
Ibanez, Raul SEA AL LF 4 -11 -7
Stewart, Shannon TOR AL LF -8 0 -8
Brown, Emil OAK AL LF -11 1 -10
Dellucci, David CLE AL LF -7 -4 -11


pBRAA: Position-adjusted batting runs above average using linear weights
RSAA: Defensive runs saved above average

*All Star selection
**RSAA adjusted for Green Monster

Johnny Popup was robbed, although it doesn't matter since he's injured. I can't believe f'in Dellucci beat Joba. He is having an awful season on both sides of the ball.
.
--Posted at 6:35 pm by SG / 14 Comments | - (181)


NY Times: Red Sox and Cubs Have 7 All-Stars Each

Jeter, Alex Rodriguez and Mariano Rivera will represent the Yankees, who are so friendly with the Red Sox that Francona will share the office of Yankees Manager Joe Girardi, who will be one of his coaches.

“Some of my better friends in life are in that clubhouse,” Rodriguez said, referring to the Red Sox. “For three or four days, we’re going to be good friends and teammates.”
...
Francona said he regretted not being able to take Mussina and Boston third baseman Mike Lowell. But he did not object to the mandate that every team be represented.

“I understand it, and I think it’s good for the game,” Francona said. “I guess I wish you could pick 37 or 38 guys. It’s like the N.C.A.A. tournament—they don’t come out and say it’s the best 64. It makes our decisions a little more complicated, but I don’t think it’s a bad rule.”

Mussina was asked to replace an injured player before the 2006 All-Star Game, but he declined the invitation because his son was having his tonsils removed. This time, he plans to attend the Lycoming County Fair in Hughesville, Pa., for the first time in years. Francona would probably be wise not to bother him.

“If he calls me and I’m at the tractor pull,” Mussina said, “I’ll probably stay at the tractor pull.”

--Posted at 8:18 am by SG / 48 Comments | - (197)


Saturday, June 7, 2003

ALL STAR BALLOT

1st Base C. DELGADO
2nd Base B. BOONE (He’s passed Soriano)
Shortstop A RODRIGUEZ
3rd Base T. GLAUS
Catcher J. POSADA
Outfield M. CAMERON
Outfield M. RAMIREZ
Outfield M. MORA
DH E. MARTINEZ

1st Base T. HELTON
2nd Base J. VIDRO
Shortstop R. FURCAL
3rd Base S. ROLEN
Catcher P. LO DUCA
Outfield B. BONDS
Outfield A. PUJOLS
Outfield G. SHEFFIELD

The current voting is a joke, right? Bagwell isn’t seriously the leading NL 1B, is he? Giambi can’t be leading in the AL. I bet Sosa drops pretty fast now…

--Posted at 11:57 pm by Larry Mahnken / No Comments | No Trackbacks - (367)


Sunday, May 25, 2003

MLB All Star Game

MLB All Star Game

1st Base C. DELGADO
2nd Base A. SORIANO
Shortstop A RODRIGUEZ
3rd Base T. GLAUS
Catcher J. POSADA
Outfield R. MONDESI
Outfield A. HUFF
Outfield C. EVERETT
DH E. MARTINEZ

1st Base T. HELTON
2nd Base J. VIDRO
Shortstop E. RENTERIA
3rd Base S. ROLEN
Catcher B. SANTIAGO
Outfield B. BONDS
Outfield A. PUJOLS
Outfield G. SHEFFIELD

--Posted at 11:59 pm by Larry Mahnken / No Comments | No Trackbacks - (371)


Friday, May 16, 2003

MLB All Star Game

Third Ballot:

1st Base C. DELGADO
2nd Base A. SORIANO
Shortstop A RODRIGUEZ
3rd Base B. MUELLER
Catcher J. POSADA
Outfield R. MONDESI
Outfield B. WILLIAMS
Outfield C. EVERETT
DH E. MARTINEZ

1st Base H. CHOI
2nd Base M. GILES
Shortstop E. RENTERIA
3rd Base S. ROLEN
Catcher M. PIAZZA
Outfield B. BONDS
Outfield J. CRUZ, JR.
Outfield G. SHEFFIELD

Nick Johnson’s injury pretty much eliminates any chance of his making the team this year. Also, I wrote Everett in as an OF again because even though he’s listed as a DH. Edgar’s more deserving, but Everett—who’s played the OF all season—is very much deserving of the spot. Even though he’s an ignorant asshole.

--Posted at 8:24 pm by Larry Mahnken / No Comments | 1 Trackback - (362)


Sunday, May 11, 2003

MLB All Star Game

Forgot to submit votes for this past week.

Here they are:
American League
1st Base C. DELGADO
2nd Base A. SORIANO
Shortstop A RODRIGUEZ
3rd Base H. BLALOCK
Catcher J. POSADA
Outfield R. MONDESI
Outfield B. WILLIAMS
Outfield C. EVERETT
DH E. MARTINEZ

National League
1st Base T. HELTON
2nd Base J. VIDRO
Shortstop E. RENTERIA
3rd Base S. ROLEN
Catcher M. LIEBERTHAL
Outfield B. BONDS
Outfield J. CRUZ, JR.
Outfield J. EDMONDS

--Posted at 12:05 pm by Larry Mahnken / No Comments | No Trackbacks - (181)


Friday, May 2, 2003

MLB All Star Game

MLB All Star Game

My first ballot:
American League:
1B: Carlos Delgado, TOR
2B: Alfonso Soriano, NYY
SS: Alex Rodriguez, TEX
3B: Hank Blalock, TEX
C: Jorge Posada, NYY
OF: Manny Ramirez, BOS
OF: Bernie Williams, NYY
OF: Raul Mondesi, NYY
DH: Nick Johnson, NYY

Yeah, I’m a Homer.

National League:
1B: Todd Helton, COL
2B: Marcus Giles, ATL
SS: Edgar Renteria, STL
3B: Mike Lowell, FLA
C: Mike Lieberthal, PHI
OF: Barry Bonds, SF
OF: Jim Edmonds, STL
OF: Gary Sheffield, ATL

I’ll vote again next week, and post my ballot.

--Posted at 12:50 pm by Larry Mahnken / No Comments | 37 Trackbacks - (278)


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