Saturday, November 21, 2009
2010 Yankee CAIRO Projections v0.1
The first iteration of the Yankees’ 2010 CAIRO projections are now posted on this page. I am still in the process of inspecting all the projections to make sure they look right, but hope to release the first set of CAIRO projections for everyone early next week.
A few notes:
I haven’t done any adjusting for playing time/role changes. This is why I’m showing Phil Hughes as a reliever right now. It doesn’t mean I think he should be a reliever. That’s the kind of stuff I’ll be working on correcting as we move through the offseason. If you want a quick and dirty estimate for a start->relief conversion, figure 20%. So a starter moved to the pen will generally have an RA of about 80% of his starter RA. If you move a reliever to the rotation, his RA will generally be about 120% times his relief RA.
I haven’t run my defensive projections yet.
Also, pitching projections are based on 2009 defense, so that will change based on whatever I get when I run my defensive projections as well as how the roster changes.
If you see anything that looks off or have any questions just let me know.
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