The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:
 



RSS 2.0 Atom

*ADVERTISEMENT*
Our new URL is: http://www.rlyw.net
*ADVERTISEMENT*

*ADVERTISEMENT*

image
Way back in the 20th century, Bill James wrote the first essential book about baseball managers. Chris Jaffe has just written the second.
- Rob Neyer, ESPN.com

From now on, whenever I have a question about a manager, Jaffe's book will be the first and last one I reach for.
- Sean Forman, Baseball-Reference.com

*ADVERTISEMENT*

*ADVERTISEMENT*
John Brattain Memorial Fund

The Hardball Times has set up a memorial fund for John Brattain's family. He left behind a wife and two teenage daughters.

Four years ago, I found from personal experience how generous the online community can be to its own in their hour of need. I am now literally begging you to be even more generous than you were to me.


*ADVERTISEMENT*

*ADVERTISEMENT*

*ADVERTISEMENT*

*ADVERTISEMENT*

*ADVERTISEMENT*

Does Robinson Cano’s Approach Change With Men on Base?
(50 Comments - 1/26/2010 10:44:25 am)

2010 CAIRO Projections v0.2
(14 Comments - 1/25/2010 10:56:33 pm)

One Of The Following Stories May or May Not Be True
(26 Comments - 1/25/2010 1:51:23 pm)

What Happened to Wang?
(13 Comments - 1/24/2010 11:53:14 pm)

NY Times - Glanville: Seeing is Disbelieving
(62 Comments - 1/24/2010 9:27:27 pm)

RealGM Baseball: Yankees Among Teams Interested In Edmonds
(3 Comments - 1/23/2010 4:52:40 pm)

Should Jesus Montero Be an Option for Left Field?
(65 Comments - 1/22/2010 10:24:20 am)

CAIRO Projected 2010 AL East Standings as of January 16
(35 Comments - 1/21/2010 2:53:01 pm)

MLB.com - Bauman: Yankees appear stronger
(18 Comments - 1/21/2010 5:21:26 am)

TSBG Versus High and Low Fastballs
(5 Comments - 1/20/2010 9:00:27 am)

Player

 Current Projected
Look what people have to say about Larry Mahnken's commentary!

"Larry, can you be any more of a Yankee apologist?.... Just look past your Yankee myopia and try some objectivity."
- Bernal Diaz

"Mr. Mahnken is enlightened."
- cordially, as always,
rm

"Wow, Larry. You've produced 25% of the comments on this thread and said nothing meaningful. That's impressive, even for you."
- Anonymous

"After reading all your postings and daily weblog...I believe you have truly become the Phil Pepe of this generation. Now this is not necessarily a good thing."
- Repoz

"you blog sucks, it reeds as it was written by the queer son of mike lupica and roids clemens. i could write a better column by letting a monkey fuk a typewriter. i dont need no 181 million dollar team to write a blog fukkk the spankeees"
- yan

"i think his followers have a different sexual preference than most men"
- bob

"Boring and predictable."
- No Guru No Method

"Are you the biggest idiot ever?"
- Randal

"I'm not qualified to write for online media, let alone mainstream media."
- Larry Mahnken

This site is best viewed with a monitor.

Disclaimer: If you think this is the official website of the New York Yankees, you're an idiot. Go away.

Monday, March 30, 2009

2009 Diamond Mind Projection Blowout - ZiPS edition

Below are are the results of Dan Szymborski’s 2009 ZiPS projections when run through Diamond Mind Baseball 1000 times.

To read all the caveats and disclaimers that you should keep in mind when looking at these, check the main post

Standings

AL East W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
NYA 96.5 65.5 883 732 501.8 300.8 90-103 840-925 694-771 97 97 531 317 136 15 1 0 100 95-105
BOS 94.8 67.2 857 713 360.0 362.2 89-101 815-899 676-750 95 94 387 369 227 13 4 0 94 90-98
TAM 90.2 71.8 791 681 136.8 264.7 84-96 752-830 644-718 90 89 154 279 490 68 9 0 88 84-92
TOR 76.4 85.6 687 730 1.3 13.3 70-83 651-724 693-767 77 74 3 16 63 514 404 0 79 74-84
BAL 74.8 87.2 796 851 0.3 5.3 69-81 757-834 809-892 75 72 1 8 50 403 538 0 72 67-77
AL Central W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
CLE 85.4 76.6 810 763 484.3 6.2 79-92 769-850 725-802 86 87 507 282 124 61 26 0 89 85-94
DET 83.5 78.5 816 785 327.2 15.0 77-90 777-855 744-825 84 85 348 320 189 102 41 0 84 80-87
MIN 78.7 83.3 758 793 120.0 11.3 72-85 720-795 751-836 78 76 132 211 277 262 118 0 79 76-83
KC 76.4 85.6 739 802 55.2 3.5 70-83 699-778 762-843 77 77 62 153 257 291 237 0 75 71-79
CHA 72.0 90.0 773 868 13.3 0.3 66-78 733-813 828-908 72 70 17 70 127 272 514 0 69 64-74
AL West W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
LAA 85.3 76.7 784 738 563.0 7.0 79-92 744-824 700-777 85 85 582 285 113 20 0 0 88 83-93
OAK 80.8 81.2 756 753 256.0 8.3 74-87 716-795 715-791 80 79 273 344 310 73 0 0 82 78-86
SEA 79.2 82.8 721 729 174.0 2.0 73-85 684-758 690-767 79 81 185 339 356 120 0 0 76 73-80
TEX 69.2 92.8 783 920 8.0 0.0 63-75 744-822 877-964 69 69 8 57 191 744 0 0 68 63-73
Avg WC 93.5
NL East W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
NYN 91.2 70.8 849 749 470.8 154.1 85-97 808-890 711-787 91 89 492 314 166 25 3 0 95 90-100
PHI 88.6 73.4 822 751 301.8 148.7 82-95 782-862 714-789 89 88 323 340 295 38 4 0 89 85-93
ATL 87.5 74.5 791 729 223.8 153.6 81-94 753-830 691-766 88 88 237 340 356 64 3 0 84 80-88
WAS 75.0 87.0 769 827 4.5 7.3 69-81 730-808 788-866 75 74 6 26 132 678 158 0 75 71-80
FLA 66.4 95.6 717 855 0.0 0.0 60-73 681-754 815-896 66 68 0 2 14 188 796 0 65 60-71
NL Central W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
CHN 95.0 67.0 839 706 730.2 96.8 89-101 799-880 668-744 95 95 747 202 45 6 0 0 96 91-101
STL 87.2 74.8 777 713 195.2 163.5 81-93 737-816 676-749 87 85 212 459 241 73 15 0 88 84-92
MIL 82.5 79.5 802 785 66.7 83.3 76-89 763-841 745-825 82 82 74 268 387 211 58 2 82 79-86
CIN 77.1 84.9 749 785 6.0 16.8 71-83 713-786 747-823 77 79 6 80 245 457 190 22 77 73-81
HOU 71.0 91.0 723 824 2.0 6.0 65-77 685-762 784-864 71 73 2 20 82 207 583 106 70 65-74
PIT 60.2 101.8 678 880 0.0 0.0 54-66 641-715 839-921 60 61 0 0 2 23 143 832 60 54-65
NL West W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
LAN 89.1 72.9 817 747 574.8 50.8 83-95 778-856 710-785 89 88 601 266 98 28 7 0 92 87-96
ARI 84.6 77.4 733 709 228.7 69.5 78-91 696-769 670-748 85 82 251 340 255 127 27 0 86 82-90
COL 81.1 80.9 799 798 118.0 30.7 75-88 758-839 758-838 81 78 128 225 290 263 94 0 81 78-85
SF 79.0 83.0 698 713 73.2 18.0 73-86 661-735 673-752 79 79 83 151 261 347 158 0 77 73-80
SD 71.4 90.6 703 788 5.3 1.0 65-78 666-739 749-828 71 74 7 34 86 219 654 0 70 65-75
Avg WC 91.1


W:Average wins over 1000 seasons
L:Average losses over 1000 seasons
RF:Average runs for(scored) over 1000 seasons
RA:Average runs allowed over 1000 seasons
Div: Number of division titles won over 1000 season. Ties are split (ie, if two teams tie for a division, they each get 0.5 Div)
WC: Number of wild cards won. Same deal with the ties here
StD W: Wins within one standard deviation either way
Std RF: Runs for within one standard deviation either way
Std RA: Runs allowed within one standard deviation either way
Median: Median win total
Mode: Mode win total
1: Number of times in first place
2: Number of times in second place
3: Number of times in third place
4: Number of times in fourth place
5: Number of times in fifth place
6: Number of times in sixth place
APW: Average placing wins. This is the average win total to take each place in the division
Std APW: APW within one standard deviation
Avg WC: Average victory total of the wild card winner over 1000 seasons.

Pie Chart Madness!







Clustered Column Charts of Divisional Placings







--Posted at 6:40 am by SG / No Comments | - (191)


Page 1 of 1 pages: