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Player

 Current Projected
Look what people have to say about Larry Mahnken's commentary!

"Larry, can you be any more of a Yankee apologist?.... Just look past your Yankee myopia and try some objectivity."
- Bernal Diaz

"Mr. Mahnken is enlightened."
- cordially, as always,
rm

"Wow, Larry. You've produced 25% of the comments on this thread and said nothing meaningful. That's impressive, even for you."
- Anonymous

"After reading all your postings and daily weblog...I believe you have truly become the Phil Pepe of this generation. Now this is not necessarily a good thing."
- Repoz

"you blog sucks, it reeds as it was written by the queer son of mike lupica and roids clemens. i could write a better column by letting a monkey fuk a typewriter. i dont need no 181 million dollar team to write a blog fukkk the spankeees"
- yan

"i think his followers have a different sexual preference than most men"
- bob

"Boring and predictable."
- No Guru No Method

"Are you the biggest idiot ever?"
- Randal

"I'm not qualified to write for online media, let alone mainstream media."
- Larry Mahnken

This site is best viewed with a monitor.

Disclaimer: If you think this is the official website of the New York Yankees, you're an idiot. Go away.

Monday, March 30, 2009

2009 Diamond Mind Projection Blowout - PECOTA edition

Below are are the results of Baseball Prospectus’s 2009 PECOTA projections when run through Diamond Mind Baseball 1000 times.

To read all the caveats and disclaimers that you should keep in mind when looking at these, check the main post.

Standings

AL East W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
NYA 96.0 66.0 822 686 452.8 298.8 90-102 781-863 648-723 96 94 473 303 214 10 0 0 100 96-105
BOS 95.1 66.9 826 684 365.2 343.8 89-101 785-867 649-719 95 95 390 369 226 12 3 0 94 90-98
TAM 91.8 70.2 785 670 180.7 297.8 86-98 746-823 635-705 92 94 199 313 452 34 2 0 89 84-93
TOR 74.0 88.0 694 759 0.3 7.8 68-80 656-732 721-796 74 74 1 9 32 530 428 0 77 72-82
BAL 73.2 88.8 789 869 1.0 7.0 67-80 749-829 828-911 73 74 1 7 32 436 524 0 70 65-75
AL Central W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
CLE 84.5 77.5 790 749 526.1 5.0 78-91 751-829 711-787 85 85 550 246 105 73 26 0 88 83-92
DET 80.3 81.7 773 774 235.1 3.3 74-86 735-811 736-812 80 82 254 291 226 150 79 0 82 79-86
MIN 78.5 83.5 743 772 151.4 3.3 72-85 704-782 732-812 79 78 167 249 251 211 122 0 78 75-82
KC 75.7 86.3 727 782 67.9 2.0 69-82 689-765 744-821 76 76 76 154 262 283 225 0 74 71-78
CHA 72.1 89.9 732 827 19.5 1.5 66-78 694-771 787-868 72 73 22 94 152 244 488 0 69 64-73
AL West W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
LAA 86.8 75.2 756 705 636.3 8.0 81-93 717-795 666-744 87 89 659 247 78 16 0 0 89 84-94
OAK 81.7 80.3 766 745 249.3 18.0 75-88 726-807 707-783 82 80 268 418 251 63 0 0 82 78-86
SEA 77.5 84.5 702 732 102.3 3.5 71-84 666-739 692-771 78 78 115 263 411 211 0 0 76 72-80
TEX 70.8 91.2 723 836 11.3 0.0 64-77 682-764 792-880 71 72 12 84 234 670 0 0 69 64-74
Avg WC 94.0
NL East W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
NYN 89.6 72.4 826 743 424.6 124.7 83-96 785-867 706-779 89 89 450 282 203 55 10 0 94 89-98
ATL 88.1 73.9 791 720 308.1 141.7 82-94 750-831 683-758 88 86 331 330 239 84 16 0 88 85-92
PHI 86.7 75.3 815 766 242.7 121.7 80-93 775-854 727-805 87 87 257 323 286 103 31 0 84 80-87
WAS 75.1 86.9 786 844 17.5 12.0 69-82 747-826 802-886 75 77 20 38 122 403 417 0 77 73-81
FLA 74.6 87.4 734 788 6.3 9.5 68-81 698-771 749-828 75 75 9 36 123 360 472 0 71 66-76
NL Central W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
CHN 93.9 68.1 808 680 746.8 79.2 88-100 770-846 642-718 94 92 762 178 52 7 1 0 95 90-100
MIL 85.8 76.2 785 742 173.3 145.8 79-93 747-822 703-780 86 86 188 468 210 100 27 7 87 83-91
STL 81.5 80.5 758 756 65.8 67.7 75-88 718-797 716-795 81 80 74 271 379 190 65 21 81 77-85
CIN 75.8 86.2 735 781 14.0 13.3 69-82 697-773 743-819 76 81 16 74 249 365 216 80 76 72-80
HOU 69.2 92.8 720 838 0.0 0.8 63-76 682-757 795-880 69 68 0 9 76 196 370 349 70 66-74
PIT 67.4 94.6 739 876 0.0 2.0 61-74 700-778 832-921 67 67 0 14 46 139 322 479 64 59-69
NL West W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
LAN 90.3 71.7 800 713 555.3 109.5 84-97 759-840 676-751 91 94 572 312 79 31 6 0 93 89-98
ARI 88.4 73.6 779 712 388.8 125.7 82-95 738-820 674-750 89 87 405 413 129 40 13 0 87 83-91
SF 78.4 83.7 691 713 36.3 28.2 72-85 657-725 677-749 78 80 44 156 408 254 138 0 80 76-84
COL 74.4 87.6 813 879 13.5 11.3 68-81 772-853 835-923 74 76 15 76 232 330 347 0 75 71-79
SD 73.1 88.9 697 763 6.0 7.0 67-79 660-734 728-799 73 74 7 46 192 321 434 0 69 65-74
Avg WC 90.9


W:Average wins over 1000 seasons
L:Average losses over 1000 seasons
RF:Average runs for(scored) over 1000 seasons
RA:Average runs allowed over 1000 seasons
Div: Number of division titles won over 1000 season. Ties are split (ie, if two teams tie for a division, they each get 0.5 Div)
WC: Number of wild cards won. Same deal with the ties here
StD W: Wins within one standard deviation either way
Std RF: Runs for within one standard deviation either way
Std RA: Runs allowed within one standard deviation either way
Median: Median win total
Mode: Mode win total
1: Number of times in first place
2: Number of times in second place
3: Number of times in third place
4: Number of times in fourth place
5: Number of times in fifth place
6: Number of times in sixth place
APW: Average placing wins. This is the average win total to take each place in the division
Std APW: APW within one standard deviation
Avg WC: Average victory total of the wild card winner over 1000 seasons.

Pie Chart Madness!







Clustered Column Charts of Divisional Placings







--Posted at 6:40 am by SG / No Comments | - (174)


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