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Player

 Current Projected
Look what people have to say about Larry Mahnken's commentary!

"Larry, can you be any more of a Yankee apologist?.... Just look past your Yankee myopia and try some objectivity."
- Bernal Diaz

"Mr. Mahnken is enlightened."
- cordially, as always,
rm

"Wow, Larry. You've produced 25% of the comments on this thread and said nothing meaningful. That's impressive, even for you."
- Anonymous

"After reading all your postings and daily weblog...I believe you have truly become the Phil Pepe of this generation. Now this is not necessarily a good thing."
- Repoz

"you blog sucks, it reeds as it was written by the queer son of mike lupica and roids clemens. i could write a better column by letting a monkey fuk a typewriter. i dont need no 181 million dollar team to write a blog fukkk the spankeees"
- yan

"i think his followers have a different sexual preference than most men"
- bob

"Boring and predictable."
- No Guru No Method

"Are you the biggest idiot ever?"
- Randal

"I'm not qualified to write for online media, let alone mainstream media."
- Larry Mahnken

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Disclaimer: If you think this is the official website of the New York Yankees, you're an idiot. Go away.

Monday, March 30, 2009

2009 Diamond Mind Projection Blowout - CHONE edition

Below are are the results of Sean Smith’s 2009 CHONE projections when run through Diamond Mind 1000 times.  Sean’s projections rated as some of the best last year.

To read all the caveats and disclaimers that you should keep in mind when looking at these, check the main post.

Standings

AL East W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
BOS 95.6 66.4 825 678 495.7 311.8 89-102 785-866 643-713 96 99 517 343 119 19 2 0 99 94-104
NYA 94.4 67.6 845 718 387.2 353.2 88-101 805-884 679-756 94 93 409 393 178 17 3 0 93 89-97
TAM 87.8 74.2 779 702 111.2 201.7 81-94 740-818 665-738 88 89 122 234 518 105 21 0 87 82-91
BAL 76.1 85.9 753 804 2.5 13.0 70-82 714-792 765-844 76 73 3 16 95 485 401 0 78 74-83
TOR 74.6 87.4 677 738 3.5 10.5 68-81 641-713 701-776 74 74 4 14 71 379 532 0 71 66-76
AL Central W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
CLE 87.9 74.1 792 721 540.0 32.2 81-94 753-831 685-757 88 89 560 307 91 34 8 0 91 86-96
DET 85.4 76.7 771 725 344.3 32.5 79-92 733-809 688-763 85 84 365 430 135 52 18 0 85 81-88
MIN 77.6 84.4 738 781 79.8 6.7 71-84 699-776 741-822 77 77 85 161 360 238 156 0 79 75-82
KC 73.3 88.7 716 795 22.2 2.2 67-80 678-753 756-834 73 74 24 76 221 327 352 0 74 70-78
CHA 72.7 89.3 730 815 13.7 0.3 67-79 693-767 775-855 73 74 16 59 198 345 382 0 68 64-73
AL West W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
LAA 86.2 75.8 774 725 599.3 18.3 80-93 735-812 688-761 86 86 622 252 93 33 0 0 89 84-93
SEA 81.2 80.8 695 688 247.6 11.3 75-87 659-731 652-724 81 82 264 388 251 97 0 0 82 78-86
OAK 77.9 84.1 747 762 120.1 5.0 72-84 708-787 723-801 78 78 130 269 384 217 0 0 77 73-81
TEX 71.9 90.1 766 872 33.5 1.3 65-79 727-804 815-929 72 71 40 107 248 605 0 0 70 64-75
Avg WC 92.9
NL East W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
PHI 86.8 75.2 803 755 395.8 138.6 80-93 763-842 717-793 87 85 418 285 206 75 16 0 92 87-96
NYN 85.9 76.1 801 756 315.4 133.9 80-92 760-841 719-794 86 86 334 310 259 82 15 0 86 83-90
ATL 85.0 77.0 768 727 257.2 128.9 79-91 729-806 693-762 85 85 275 315 274 116 20 0 82 78-85
FLA 75.1 86.9 702 756 28.5 21.7 69-82 666-739 718-793 75 74 30 75 155 434 306 0 76 72-80
WAS 71.1 90.9 729 829 2.5 5.8 65-77 692-767 791-868 71 69 3 29 74 302 592 0 69 64-74
NL Central W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
CHN 88.2 73.8 781 712 521.0 101.3 82-94 741-820 676-747 88 91 546 242 115 66 24 7 91 87-96
STL 84.3 77.7 743 710 240.3 116.3 78-91 707-779 672-747 84 84 259 302 213 133 72 21 86 82-89
CIN 81.3 80.7 726 721 121.3 73.9 75-87 691-761 685-757 81 81 132 199 261 208 145 55 82 79-85
MIL 79.6 82.4 748 758 76.8 62.8 73-86 711-785 719-796 79 78 87 178 218 230 178 109 78 75-81
PIT 75.9 86.1 714 759 35.5 26.2 69-82 675-752 722-796 76 78 39 74 142 230 261 254 75 71-78
HOU 71.9 90.1 700 785 5.0 5.0 66-78 663-737 747-823 72 72 6 31 67 146 260 490 69 64-74
NL West W L RF RA Div WC StD W Std RF Std RA Median Mode 1 2 3 4 5 6 APW Std APW
LAN 87.2 74.8 785 731 562.8 53.3 81-94 746-825 696-767 87 86 586 228 100 63 23 0 90 85-94
ARI 79.7 82.3 705 721 139.3 38.5 73-86 670-741 684-758 80 76 152 237 226 211 174 0 84 81-87
SF 79.6 82.4 689 697 121.8 33.8 74-86 654-723 660-735 80 80 128 232 251 207 182 0 80 77-83
COL 78.4 83.6 766 793 97.0 35.8 72-85 727-806 756-829 78 75 108 204 193 228 267 0 77 73-80
SD 77.5 84.5 693 725 79.0 24.3 71-84 657-729 688-762 78 79 87 163 213 259 278 0 72 68-76
Avg WC 88.4


W:Average wins over 1000 seasons
L:Average losses over 1000 seasons
RF:Average runs for(scored) over 1000 seasons
RA:Average runs allowed over 1000 seasons
Div: Number of division titles won over 1000 season. Ties are split (ie, if two teams tie for a division, they each get 0.5 Div)
WC: Number of wild cards won. Same deal with the ties here
StD W: Wins within one standard deviation either way
Std RF: Runs for within one standard deviation either way
Std RA: Runs allowed within one standard deviation either way
Median: Median win total
Mode: Mode win total
1: Number of times in first place
2: Number of times in second place
3: Number of times in third place
4: Number of times in fourth place
5: Number of times in fifth place
6: Number of times in sixth place
APW: Average placing wins. This is the average win total to take each place in the division
Std APW: APW within one standard deviation
Avg WC: Average victory total of the wild card winner over 1000 seasons.

Pie Chart Madness!







Clustered Column Charts of Divisional Placings







--Posted at 6:40 am by SG / No Comments | - (206)


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