Tuesday, April 10, 2007
2007 Yankee Run Values - Through April 9
I figure it's a good time for a small sample-size look at how the Yankees have performed so far. Here's the position players on offense and defense. The last 3 columns are if you pro-rate over the rest of the season.| Player | BR | Def | Total | pBR | pDef | pTotal |
| A Rodriguez* | 6.7 | -0.3 | 6.3 | 180 | -9 | 171 |
| J Damon* | 2.5 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 68 | 18 | 86 |
| B Abreu* | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 48 | 32 | 79 |
| J Posada* | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 43 | 4 | 48 |
| J Phelps* | -0.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | -4 | 18 | 15 |
| W Nieves* | -0.4 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -12 | 0 | -12 |
| M Cairo* | -0.9 | 0.3 | -0.6 | -23 | 8 | -15 |
| J Giambi* | -0.8 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -23 | 0 | -23 |
| D Mientkiewicz* | -1.0 | -0.3 | -1.3 | -26 | -8 | -34 |
| H Matsui* | -0.4 | -0.9 | -1.4 | -11 | -26 | -37 |
| M Cabrera* | -3.0 | 1.4 | -1.7 | -82 | 37 | -45 |
| D Jeter* | 0.2 | -1.9 | -1.7 | 6 | -52 | -46 |
| R Cano* | -0.8 | -1.8 | -2.6 | -22 | -48 | -71 |
| Total | 5.2 | -1.0 | 4.3 | 142 | -26 | 115 |
Alex Rodriguez is on fire. Damon's not getting the hype, but he's doing really well too. The middle infield is sucking it up so far on both sides of the ball, but I don't expect that to continue for long. And what about the pitching?
| Player | RSAA | pRSAA |
| S Henn* | 2.2 | 59 |
| M Myers* | 1.9 | 51 |
| B Bruney* | 1.7 | 46 |
| K Farnsworth* | 1.4 | 38 |
| M Rivera* | 0.9 | 25 |
| L Vizcaino* | 0.6 | 15 |
| A Pettitte* | 0.3 | 9 |
| S Proctor* | -0.3 | -8 |
| C Pavano* | -0.7 | -18 |
| D Rasner* | -3.0 | -80 |
| M Mussina* | -4.1 | -111 |
| K Igawa* | -4.7 | -126 |
| Total | -3.7 | -100 |
| BR | Batting Runs above average (linear weights) |
| Def | Runs saved above average by Zone Rating |
| Total | BR + Def |
| RSAA | Runs saved above average (lgERA - ERA)/9 x IP |
The bullpen is carrying the pitching staff so far, which isn't exactly news to anyone who's been watching. They won't be able to keep up their performance, because if they're pitching as much as they have to this point they're going to get worn out, but you have to figure Moose will get better, and Igawa will either get better or be pitching in Scranton. Wang should return by the end of the month. As I mentioned at the top, small sample size clearly applies, but this should give you a rough idea of where the Yankees should get better. The fact that they've been scoring like they have with minimal to negative contribution from the bulk of their players is a very good sign. If they get their starting pitching to be serviceable, they'll be in pretty good shape.
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