The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:
 

Wednesday, July 15, 2009

AL RF & DH Run Values Through the First Half of 2009

Player Team Pos PA AVG OBP SLG BRAR RSAA TRAR
Choo, Shin-Soo CLE RF 359 .304 .409 .498 26 3 29
Suzuki, Ichiro* SEA RF 352 .358 .390 .479 19 5 25
Cruz, Nelson TEX RF 316 .262 .326 .528 15 4 19
Dye, Jermaine CHA RF 306 .290 .363 .566 18 1 18
Abreu, Bobby LAA RF 331 .301 .405 .437 18 -2 16
Swisher, Nick NYA RF 320 .243 .371 .483 13 -1 13
Cuddyer, Michael MIN RF 324 .277 .358 .523 15 -3 12
Gross, Gabe TB RF 177 .278 .384 .424 6 5 12
Drew, J.D. BOS RF 297 .259 .380 .482 15 -4 11
Kapler, Gabe TB RF 123 .245 .333 .500 5 3 7
Markakis, Nick BAL RF 372 .293 .352 .446 10 -7 3
Van Every, Jonathan BOS RF 13 .364 .462 .636 2 0 2
Thomas, Clete DET RF 127 .237 .315 .412 0 2 2
Baldelli, Rocco BOS RF 89 .278 .360 .468 2 -1 2
Rios, Alex TOR RF 374 .260 .316 .418 -1 2 2
Nady, Xavier NYA RF 29 .286 .310 .429 0 0 0
Buck, Travis OAK RF 101 .226 .287 .355 -3 3 0
Joyce, Matt TB RF 37 .188 .270 .500 1 -2 -1
Wise, DeWayne CHA RF 88 .203 .259 .291 -6 3 -3
Cunningham, Aaron OAK RF 50 .152 .220 .261 -5 1 -4
Matthews Jr., Gary LAA RF 159 .228 .283 .331 -5 -3 -8
Ordonez, Magglio DET RF 291 .260 .330 .344 -5 -5 -10
Guillen, Jose KC RF 271 .250 .325 .381 -3 -12 -15


Player Team Pos PA AVG OBP SLG BRAR RSAA TRAR
Lind, Adam TOR DH 359 .308 .382 .558 19 -3 16
Scott, Luke BAL DH 249 .305 .386 .595 17 -4 14
Kubel, Jason MIN DH 283 .302 .360 .531 11 0 12
Thome, Jim CHA DH 258 .252 .399 .485 11 0 11
Matsui, Hideki NYA DH 262 .268 .366 .518 10 0 10
Hafner, Travis CLE DH 142 .281 .387 .570 9 0 9
Blalock, Hank TEX DH 260 .249 .292 .531 4 0 4
Jones, Andruw TEX DH 182 .239 .341 .523 6 -3 3
Thames, Marcus DET DH 123 .257 .325 .532 3 0 2
Pena, Brayan KC DH 50 .326 .360 .543 2 0 2
Carp, Mike SEA DH 13 .375 .538 .375 1 0 2
Larish, Jeff DET DH 90 .216 .344 .446 0 1 1
Ramirez, Wilkin DET DH 3 .333 .333 1.333 1 0 1
Dillon, Joe TB DH 29 .320 .414 .440 1 0 0
Dellucci, David CLE DH 61 .275 .333 .350 -1 0 -1
Carter, Chris BOS DH 6 .000 .000 .000 -1 0 -1
McDonald, John TOR DH 30 .267 .267 .367 -2 0 -2
Garciaparra, Nomar OAK DH 79 .270 .304 .392 -3 -1 -4
Guerrero, Vladimir LAA DH 185 .290 .319 .415 -5 0 -4
Burrell, Pat TB DH 202 .222 .337 .322 -5 0 -5
Sweeney, Mike SEA DH 129 .250 .295 .383 -5 -1 -5
Griffey Jr., Ken SEA DH 258 .218 .337 .407 -2 -4 -5
Ortiz, David BOS DH 319 .223 .317 .394 -5 -1 -6
Jacobs, Mike KC DH 274 .223 .299 .409 -6 -1 -6
Cust, Jack OAK DH 324 .225 .315 .408 -6 -1 -7


BRAR: Batting runs above replacement level (position and park-adjusted) using linear weights
RSAA: Runs saved above average defensively using zone rating for non-catchers
TRAR: Total runs above replacement level (BRAR + RSAA)
* denotes All Star
** stats were compiled as of July 7

Poor Shin-Soo Choo is toiling in anonymity in Cleveland. I had no idea he was having such a strong season. Seems like he deserves to be an All Star, but nope, only Ichiro makes it from this list. That's not to say Ichiro doesn't deserve it, he's having a very good year on both sides of the ball and has been good since coming into MLB, even if slightly overrated.

Nick Swisher's overall numbers are decent, but it's worth nothing that he's hit .208/.333/.365 in 242 PAs since April. Still, at a cost of Wilson Betemit, it's tough to complain about Swisher's overall performance to this point. And for those pining for Alexis Rios, maybe you should pine for Clete Thomas instead.

Moving onto the DHs, some of the DHs have played enough in the field to have accumulated defensive stats, so I've included those. In just about every instance, they show why a player is primarily a DH.

Adam Lind had been a disappointment prior to this year, but he is finally showing the bat that made him a pretty highly touted prospect, and at age 25 there's a good chance it's not entirely a fluke.

Hideki Matsui's had wild performance swings, but overall he's been solid at DH, around 10 runs above replacement level. DH replacement level is set to a league average hitter, compared to replacement level at other positions being around 80% of positional average. This takes care of rewarding DHs for not playing defense at all.

I expected Pat Burrell to scuffle a little in the AL, but not nearly as much as he has. Unfortunately, it looks like David Ortiz is climbing back towards respectability, although he has a ways to go yet. And yeah, Dayton Moore hasn't really distinguished himself this season between signing The Farns, trading for Mike Jacobs, and now trading for Yuniesky Betancourt. At least he didn't trade for Jeff Francouer, right?

I'll look at starting pitches and relievers next, then hopefully on to projections for the second half over the end of this week or beginning of next week.
--Posted at 6:01 am by SG / 23 Comments | - (137)

Comments

Page 1 of 1 pages:

Unfortunately, it looks like David Ortiz is climbing back towards respectability, although he has a ways to go yet.

He don’t need anymore encouragement, seriously.

And for those pining for Alexis Rios, maybe you should pine for Clete Thomas instead.

Or for those wanting Baldelli realizing he only has 89PA and has been of marginal value.

Abreu, Bobby LAA RF 331 .301 .405 .437 18 -2 16

For what, $5MM?  Damn.  The -2 jumps out at me.  At this point last year, wasn’t he like -15?

The -2 jumps out at me.  At this point last year, wasn’t he like -15?

They have better padding on the walls in Anaheim.

Look at his UZR stats; it’s odd-year Bobby!  Seriously, in even numbered years he’s been significantly worse than odd years.  Starting in 2002: .6, 15.4, -10.5, -4.8, -14.8, -2.8, -25.6, -.4 (so far).  Whoever is going to sign him next year, beware!

I had no idea Markakis rated so poorly in the field.  I love his bat though.

I’ll take Clete Thomas just on his first name.  Nothing says old-school like the name Clete.  I have an 80 year old uncle named Clete.  My parents say I almost got named after him.  I would have liked that.

Who the hell is Cris Carter?

I didn’t realize that the Indians got Choo for Ben Broussard. Whoa.

I had no idea Markakis rated so poorly in the field.  I love his bat though.

Actually, even his bat is down this year.  Mostly looks like because he is walking less (14.3 BB% last year, 8.1% this year), though his other numbers are off as well.  Defensively, according to UZR, he’s generally been good, and last year great.  This year he’s -9.6 (-11.2 range) so far.  Yikes!  SSS since it is only a half-season?  Or is he injured/recovering from an injury?  Or just a random down year?  Under the old Orioles management I would think the Yankees could steal him after a down year…not so much with MacPhail.

The all star game is over, and still no baseball? This blows.

Who the hell is Cris Carter?

He created the X-Files.

it’s odd-year Bobby!

If you’re a GM and you’re thinking of signing him (say last offseason or this one) do you:

1) Average his yearly UZRs and pay him based on that (below average but not awful); or
2) Buy into the odd/even idea and pay him based on what you therefore expect (close to average or absolutely awful)?

Crazy.

Who the hell is Cris Carter?

All he does is catch touchdowns.

If you’re a GM and you’re thinking of signing him (say last offseason or this one) do you:

3) Tell him (and pay him like) he’s a pretty good DH who will also play the OF occasionally.

I’m being reminded of how much the off-season sucks.

I’m being reminded of how much the off-season sucks.

Some off-seasons are not bad, particularly in the wake of a nice postseason.

Hey, Papi is slugging over .600 since he became a blogger in mid-June. Coincidence? I think not.

Ortiz also has 12 home runs since the introduction of the fourth “Big Papi Hot Sauce” on his website. Coincidence?

Ortiz also has 12 home runs since the introduction of the fourth “Big Papi Hot Sauce” on his website. Coincidence?

Yes.  These are all coincidences because the real spike in production comes from a good masking agent.

Some off-seasons are not bad, particularly in the wake of a nice postseason.

Those must be like. As a Yankee fan, can’t quite recall.

what’s the postseason?

If the Yankees make the playoffs and win a round, the rope that has been around their necks since the 2004 ALCS collapse would come off, and they would roll on to a WS win…or two.

Playoffs? Don’t talk about Playoffs! Are you kidding me? Playoffs?

Is anybody watching the AAA All-Star game tonight? A-Jax plays today.

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